AFL · ROUND 2 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Adelaide Crows v Western Bulldogs
Fri 20 Mar 2026, 7:10pm ACDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
WB by 1
WB to win, 51% chance
ADE 49%51% WB
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WB by 6
HIT Actual margin 6 · 5.0 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rory Laird | HBFR | 25.9 / 18.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.7 / 9.0 | 3.9 / 1.0 | 96 / 77 |
| Jordan Dawson | C | 22.9 / 25.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 4.5 / 5.0 | 5.9 / 7.0 | 98 / 119 |
| Josh Worrell | CHB | 22.8 / 25.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.3 / 9.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 88 / 94 |
| Jake Soligo | INT | 20.4 / 12.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 2.8 / 1.0 | 4.0 / 2.0 | 79 / 49 |
| James Peatling | INT | 20.4 / 12.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 3.0 | 4.4 / 2.0 | 81 / 49 |
| Wayne Milera | BPL | 19.9 / 19.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.1 / 8.0 | 2.1 / 0.0 | 78 / 74 |
| Izak Rankine | HFFL | 18.4 / 16.0 | 1.3 / 1.0 | 3.3 / 2.0 | 3.3 / 3.0 | 78 / 66 |
| Sam Berry | RR | 16.9 / 22.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 2.5 / 4.0 | 4.7 / 8.0 | 72 / 108 |
| Alex Neal-Bullen | FPL | 16.2 / 17.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 3.0 | 3.8 / 1.0 | 68 / 52 |
| Ben Keays | R | 15.7 / 15.0 | 1.2 / 0.0 | 3.2 / 5.0 | 3.5 / 2.0 | 70 / 54 |
| Callum Ah Chee | INT | 15.0 / 8.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 5.3 / 3.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 67 / 33 |
| Isaac Cumming | WR | 14.9 / 18.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 5.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 63 / 70 |
| Max Michalanney | INT | 13.4 / 13.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.1 / 7.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 58 / 57 |
| Riley Thilthorpe | CHF | 13.2 / 13.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 5.3 / 6.0 | 2.2 / 1.0 | 77 / 77 |
| Darcy Fogarty | FPR | 12.8 / 11.0 | 1.3 / 2.0 | 4.9 / 6.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 63 / 71 |
| Josh Rachele | HFFR | 12.7 / 18.0 | 1.2 / 2.0 | 3.2 / 2.0 | 2.1 / 4.0 | 61 / 70 |
| Taylor Walker | FF | 12.5 / 11.0 | 1.8 / 3.0 | 5.1 / 7.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 65 / 72 |
| Hugh Bond | BPR | 11.2 / - | 0.0 / - | 3.0 / - | 2.5 / - | 48 / - |
| Brayden Cook | WL | 11.0 / 13.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 2.0 | 1.9 / 2.0 | 51 / 48 |
| Nick Murray | HBFL | 10.1 / 16.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 10.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 44 / 84 |
| Luke Pedlar | INT | 9.9 / 7.0 | 1.0 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 2.0 | 2.2 / 1.0 | 51 / 30 |
| Lachlan McAndrew | RK | 9.8 / 13.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.9 / 2.0 | 2.1 / 1.0 | 53 / 80 |
| Jordon Butts | FB | 9.6 / 19.0 | 0.0 / 1.0 | 3.8 / 12.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 42 / 84 |
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Bontempelli | C | 26.8 / 30.0 | 1.1 / 1.0 | 4.6 / 3.0 | 5.2 / 6.0 | 105 / 108 |
| Tom Liberatore | FPR | 25.8 / 28.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 1.0 | 5.0 / 9.0 | 94 / 108 |
| Bailey Dale | HBFR | 24.8 / 20.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.1 / 1.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 91 / 59 |
| Ed Richards | R | 24.7 / 29.0 | 0.8 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 3.0 | 3.6 / 3.0 | 97 / 94 |
| Matthew Kennedy | RR | 23.2 / 27.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 2.0 | 4.7 / 7.0 | 92 / 93 |
| Bailey Williams | WR | 19.0 / 23.0 | 0.4 / 2.0 | 5.5 / 10.0 | 2.1 / 5.0 | 76 / 124 |
| Connor Budarick | HBFL | 17.0 / 21.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.7 / 4.0 | 2.3 / 1.0 | 65 / 68 |
| Tim English | RK | 16.9 / 15.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 5.6 / 2.0 | 2.6 / 3.0 | 105 / 84 |
| Lachlan Bramble | INT | 16.8 / 14.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 0.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 64 / 43 |
| Ryley Sanders | INT | 16.5 / 19.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 4.0 | 2.6 / 3.0 | 58 / 68 |
| Oskar Baker | INT | 15.6 / 8.0 | 0.3 / 3.0 | 4.5 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 62 / 51 |
| Joel Freijah | HFFR | 15.5 / 24.0 | 0.4 / 3.0 | 3.6 / 3.0 | 2.3 / 3.0 | 64 / 106 |
| Michael Sellwood | INT | 14.9 / 16.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 6.0 | 2.2 / 0.0 | 65 / 64 |
| Lachie Jaques | BPL | 14.4 / 16.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 6.0 | 2.0 / 4.0 | 54 / 74 |
| Sam Davidson | WL | 13.5 / 7.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 3.4 / 0.0 | 2.7 / 3.0 | 58 / 33 |
| Rhylee West | HFFL | 13.3 / 6.0 | 1.5 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 1.0 | 3.3 / 4.0 | 63 / 33 |
| Rory Lobb | BPR | 12.4 / 9.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.2 / 1.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 52 / 40 |
| Sam Darcy | CHF | 12.2 / 12.0 | 2.1 / 1.0 | 4.6 / 2.0 | 1.8 / 4.0 | 69 / 60 |
| Aaron Naughton | FF | 11.6 / 8.0 | 2.6 / 3.0 | 4.9 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 4.0 | 65 / 65 |
| Cooper Hynes | INT | 10.9 / 5.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 2.0 | 2.3 / 3.0 | 48 / 29 |
| James O'Donnell | CHB | 10.8 / 8.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.1 / 1.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 45 / 33 |
| Jordan Croft | FPL | 8.9 / 2.0 | 0.8 / 1.0 | 2.8 / 1.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 44 / 17 |
| Buku Khamis | FB | 8.5 / 20.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 3.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 44 / 54 |