GWS GIANTS v St Kilda

Sat 21 Mar 2026, 4:15pm AEDT (venue time)

FINAL MISS

OUR TIPNEW MODEL

GWS by 14

GWS to win, 69% chance

GWS 69%31% STK

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

STK by 4

MISS Actual margin 4 · 18.4 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

GWS GIANTS

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	70+	80+	90+	100+	110+	ACTUAL
Finn Callaghan	R	102	-	-	94%	86%	72%	55%	36%	98
Lachie Whitfield	HBFL	100	-	-	92%	82%	67%	49%	31%	92
Clayton Oliver	C	96	-	-	89%	77%	60%	42%	25%	96
Lachie Ash	HBFR	92	-	-	85%	71%	53%	35%	19%	137
Kieren Briggs	RK	84	-	-	75%	57%	39%	22%	11%	60
Toby Greene	RR	80	-	-	69%	50%	32%	18%	8%	79
Harry Himmelberg	CHB	74	-	-	58%	40%	23%	11%	5%	61
Stephen Coniglio	INT	73	-	-	55%	36%	21%	10%	4%	110
Xavier O'Halloran	HFFR	71	-	-	51%	33%	18%	8%	3%	68
Harry Rowston	INT	68	-	-	45%	28%	14%	6%	2%	65
Harvey Thomas	WR	64	-	-	39%	22%	11%	4%	2%	88
Jake Riccardi	FPR	64	-	-	39%	22%	11%	4%	2%	38
Ryan Angwin	WL	62	-	-	36%	20%	9%	4%	1%	89
Connor Idun	BPR	61	-	-	33%	18%	8%	3%	1%	75
Jayden Laverde	BPL	61	-	-	33%	18%	8%	3%	1%	47
Jesse Hogan	FF	60	-	-	31%	17%	8%	3%	1%	47
Jake Stringer	FPL	58	-	-	29%	15%	7%	2%	1%	36
Joe Fonti	INT	58	-	-	28%	15%	6%	2%	1%	73
Callum Brown	HFFL	53	-	-	21%	10%	4%	1%	0%	38
Jack Buckley	FB	52	-	-	20%	9%	4%	1%	0%	45
Phoenix Gothard	CHF	48	-	-	15%	6%	2%	1%	0%	83
Max Gruzewski	INT	46	-	-	13%	6%	2%	0%	0%	45
Josaia Delana	INT	45	-	-	12%	5%	2%	0%	0%	31

St Kilda

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	70+	80+	90+	100+	110+	ACTUAL
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera	HBFR	102	-	-	93%	85%	71%	54%	35%	90
Rowan Marshall	FPR	102	-	-	93%	85%	71%	53%	35%	62
Jack Sinclair	R	101	-	-	93%	84%	70%	52%	34%	122
Marcus Windhager	WL	92	-	-	85%	72%	54%	35%	20%	73
Bradley Hill	CHB	80	-	-	69%	51%	32%	18%	8%	84
Sam Flanders	RR	77	-	-	64%	45%	28%	14%	6%	90
Tom De Koning	RK	77	-	-	63%	44%	27%	14%	6%	90
Callum Wilkie	FB	74	-	-	58%	40%	23%	12%	5%	107
Hugo Garcia	HFFL	73	-	-	55%	36%	20%	10%	4%	70
Max Hall	C	73	-	-	55%	37%	21%	10%	4%	59
Cooper Sharman	FF	64	-	-	39%	22%	11%	4%	2%	44
Darcy Wilson	WR	64	-	-	39%	23%	11%	4%	2%	81
Jack Silvagni	BPL	64	-	-	39%	23%	11%	5%	2%	64
Mason Wood	CHF	63	-	-	37%	21%	10%	4%	1%	81
Mitch Owens	HFFR	57	-	-	28%	14%	6%	2%	1%	41
Hugh Boxshall	INT	56	-	-	25%	12%	5%	2%	0%	56
Jack Carroll	HBFL	56	-	-	26%	13%	6%	2%	0%	48
Liam Ryan	INT	55	-	-	24%	12%	5%	2%	0%	12
Mattaes Phillipou	INT	53	-	-	21%	10%	4%	1%	0%	31
Jack Higgins	FPL	51	-	-	18%	8%	3%	1%	0%	52
Liam Stocker	INT	47	-	-	14%	6%	2%	1%	0%	44
Anthony Caminiti	BPR	46	-	-	13%	5%	2%	0%	0%	0
Alix Tauru	INT	43	-	-	10%	4%	1%	0%	0%	41