GWS GIANTS v St Kilda

Sat 21 Mar 2026, 4:15pm AEDT (venue time)

FINAL MISS

OUR TIPNEW MODEL

GWS by 14

GWS to win, 69% chance

GWS 69%31% STK

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

STK by 4

MISS Actual margin 4 · 18.4 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

GWS GIANTS

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Jesse Hogan	FF	2.1	-	-	88%	62%	35%	16%	6%	2.0
Jake Stringer	FPL	1.9	-	-	85%	56%	30%	12%	4%	1.0
Toby Greene	RR	1.4	-	-	75%	40%	16%	5%	1%	0.0
Max Gruzewski	INT	1.3	-	-	72%	36%	14%	4%	1%	1.0
Jake Riccardi	FPR	1.2	-	-	70%	34%	12%	3%	1%	0.0
Callum Brown	HFFL	0.9	-	-	59%	23%	6%	1%	0%	0.0
Harry Rowston	INT	0.9	-	-	60%	23%	6%	1%	0%	1.0
Phoenix Gothard	CHF	0.6	-	-	44%	12%	2%	0%	0%	2.0
Stephen Coniglio	INT	0.6	-	-	46%	12%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Xavier O'Halloran	HFFR	0.6	-	-	44%	11%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Josaia Delana	INT	0.5	-	-	42%	10%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Clayton Oliver	C	0.4	-	-	32%	6%	1%	0%	0%	1.0
Harvey Thomas	WR	0.4	-	-	33%	6%	1%	0%	0%	1.0
Finn Callaghan	R	0.3	-	-	28%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Kieren Briggs	RK	0.3	-	-	22%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Ryan Angwin	WL	0.2	-	-	18%	2%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Harry Himmelberg	CHB	0.1	-	-	9%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Lachie Ash	HBFR	0.1	-	-	9%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Lachie Whitfield	HBFL	0.1	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Connor Idun	BPR	0.0	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jack Buckley	FB	0.0	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jayden Laverde	BPL	0.0	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Joe Fonti	INT	0.0	-	-	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0

St Kilda

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Cooper Sharman	FF	1.7	-	-	81%	50%	23%	9%	3%	0.0
Jack Higgins	FPL	1.4	-	-	76%	42%	17%	6%	2%	2.0
Mitch Owens	HFFR	1.4	-	-	75%	41%	17%	5%	1%	1.0
Liam Ryan	INT	1.3	-	-	72%	36%	14%	4%	1%	1.0
Mason Wood	CHF	1.0	-	-	63%	26%	8%	2%	0%	1.0
Max Hall	C	1.0	-	-	62%	26%	8%	2%	0%	1.0
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera	HBFR	0.8	-	-	54%	18%	4%	1%	0%	0.0
Darcy Wilson	WR	0.7	-	-	50%	16%	4%	1%	0%	1.0
Rowan Marshall	FPR	0.7	-	-	48%	14%	3%	0%	0%	0.0
Mattaes Phillipou	INT	0.6	-	-	46%	12%	2%	0%	0%	1.0
Hugo Garcia	HFFL	0.5	-	-	37%	8%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Hugh Boxshall	INT	0.4	-	-	31%	6%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Jack Carroll	HBFL	0.3	-	-	26%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jack Sinclair	R	0.3	-	-	23%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Sam Flanders	RR	0.3	-	-	25%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Tom De Koning	RK	0.3	-	-	24%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Bradley Hill	CHB	0.2	-	-	21%	2%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Marcus Windhager	WL	0.2	-	-	18%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Alix Tauru	INT	0.1	-	-	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%	2.0
Jack Silvagni	BPL	0.1	-	-	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Anthony Caminiti	BPR	0.0	-	-	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Callum Wilkie	FB	0.0	-	-	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Liam Stocker	INT	0.0	-	-	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0