AFL · ROUND 2 · ENGIE STADIUM
GWS GIANTS v St Kilda
Sat 21 Mar 2026, 4:15pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
GWS by 14
GWS to win, 69% chance
GWS 69%31% STK
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
STK by 4
MISS Actual margin 4 · 18.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachie Whitfield | HBFL | 27.9 / 28.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.5 / 4.0 | 2.4 / 3.0 | 100 / 92 |
| Finn Callaghan | R | 27.8 / 32.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.0 / 3.0 | 4.6 / 3.0 | 102 / 98 |
| Clayton Oliver | C | 25.5 / 33.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 3.4 / 3.0 | 4.8 / 3.0 | 96 / 96 |
| Lachie Ash | HBFR | 25.3 / 39.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.9 / 9.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 92 / 137 |
| Harry Himmelberg | CHB | 17.5 / 18.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.9 / 4.0 | 1.7 / 3.0 | 74 / 61 |
| Stephen Coniglio | INT | 17.0 / 28.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.7 / 4.0 | 3.8 / 7.0 | 73 / 110 |
| Toby Greene | RR | 16.8 / 21.0 | 1.4 / 0.0 | 4.5 / 3.0 | 3.5 / 4.0 | 80 / 79 |
| Xavier O'Halloran | HFFR | 16.8 / 18.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 4.0 | 2.9 / 2.0 | 71 / 68 |
| Connor Idun | BPR | 16.1 / 21.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.2 / 7.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 61 / 75 |
| Harry Rowston | INT | 16.0 / 12.0 | 0.9 / 1.0 | 3.6 / 3.0 | 2.2 / 4.0 | 68 / 65 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 15.8 / 22.0 | 0.4 / 1.0 | 4.0 / 3.0 | 2.9 / 5.0 | 64 / 88 |
| Ryan Angwin | WL | 15.6 / 21.0 | 0.2 / 1.0 | 3.2 / 4.0 | 3.7 / 5.0 | 62 / 89 |
| Joe Fonti | INT | 14.8 / 16.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.7 / 6.0 | 2.4 / 4.0 | 58 / 73 |
| Jayden Laverde | BPL | 14.7 / 15.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.5 / 5.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 61 / 47 |
| Jack Buckley | FB | 12.6 / 15.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.8 / 5.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 52 / 45 |
| Kieren Briggs | RK | 12.5 / 11.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.3 / 4.0 | 3.6 / 1.0 | 84 / 60 |
| Jake Riccardi | FPR | 11.5 / 7.0 | 1.2 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 3.0 | 64 / 38 |
| Phoenix Gothard | CHF | 11.0 / 19.0 | 0.6 / 2.0 | 2.9 / 4.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 48 / 83 |
| Callum Brown | HFFL | 10.9 / 8.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 1.0 | 2.2 / 3.0 | 53 / 38 |
| Jake Stringer | FPL | 10.3 / 10.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 3.6 / 2.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 58 / 36 |
| Jesse Hogan | FF | 9.7 / 7.0 | 2.1 / 2.0 | 4.8 / 4.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 60 / 47 |
| Josaia Delana | INT | 8.9 / 8.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 2.8 / 0.0 | 2.1 / 3.0 | 45 / 31 |
| Max Gruzewski | INT | 8.0 / 10.0 | 1.3 / 1.0 | 3.5 / 4.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 46 / 45 |
St Kilda
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Sinclair | R | 28.7 / 31.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 5.6 / 9.0 | 2.3 / 3.0 | 101 / 122 |
| Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera | HBFR | 27.3 / 27.0 | 0.8 / 0.0 | 4.9 / 4.0 | 2.6 / 1.0 | 102 / 90 |
| Marcus Windhager | WL | 25.0 / 22.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 5.0 | 2.8 / 1.0 | 92 / 73 |
| Sam Flanders | RR | 21.0 / 23.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.4 / 3.0 | 2.2 / 4.0 | 77 / 90 |
| Bradley Hill | CHB | 20.8 / 20.0 | 0.2 / 1.0 | 5.8 / 7.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 80 / 84 |
| Callum Wilkie | FB | 19.2 / 28.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 7.7 / 11.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 74 / 107 |
| Rowan Marshall | FPR | 19.0 / 16.0 | 0.7 / 0.0 | 4.1 / 3.0 | 4.3 / 1.0 | 102 / 62 |
| Max Hall | C | 17.1 / 15.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 | 3.5 / 3.0 | 3.6 / 1.0 | 73 / 59 |
| Hugo Garcia | HFFL | 16.7 / 21.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 2.3 / 0.0 | 5.2 / 4.0 | 73 / 70 |
| Tom De Koning | RK | 16.3 / 21.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.8 / 2.0 | 2.3 / 1.0 | 77 / 90 |
| Darcy Wilson | WR | 15.2 / 22.0 | 0.7 / 1.0 | 3.7 / 5.0 | 2.4 / 1.0 | 64 / 81 |
| Jack Silvagni | BPL | 14.9 / 16.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.5 / 6.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 64 / 64 |
| Hugh Boxshall | INT | 13.6 / 14.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 3.0 | 3.1 / 4.0 | 56 / 56 |
| Mason Wood | CHF | 13.4 / 20.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 | 5.4 / 5.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 63 / 81 |
| Jack Carroll | HBFL | 13.1 / 11.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 4.0 / 5.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 56 / 48 |
| Mattaes Phillipou | INT | 13.0 / 8.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 2.6 / 1.0 | 2.8 / 1.0 | 53 / 31 |
| Cooper Sharman | FF | 11.4 / 9.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 5.3 / 2.0 | 2.1 / 3.0 | 64 / 44 |
| Mitch Owens | HFFR | 11.1 / 10.0 | 1.4 / 1.0 | 3.5 / 1.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 57 / 41 |
| Liam Ryan | INT | 11.0 / 4.0 | 1.3 / 1.0 | 3.8 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 55 / 12 |
| Anthony Caminiti | BPR | 10.5 / 0.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 4.6 / 0.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 46 / 0 |
| Jack Higgins | FPL | 10.2 / 11.0 | 1.4 / 2.0 | 2.8 / 0.0 | 2.3 / 2.0 | 51 / 52 |
| Liam Stocker | INT | 10.0 / 12.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 3.6 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 47 / 44 |
| Alix Tauru | INT | 9.6 / 6.0 | 0.1 / 2.0 | 3.8 / 3.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 43 / 41 |