AFL · ROUND 2 · ENGIE STADIUM
GWS GIANTS v St Kilda
Sat 21 Mar 2026, 4:15pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
GWS by 14
GWS to win, 69% chance
GWS 69%31% STK
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
STK by 4
MISS Actual margin 4 · 18.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
29 Mar 2026
Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Oliver | C | 4.8 | - | - | 86% | 71% | 52% | 35% | 21% | 3.0 |
| Finn Callaghan | R | 4.6 | - | - | 84% | 68% | 49% | 32% | 18% | 3.0 |
| Stephen Coniglio | INT | 3.8 | - | - | 74% | 53% | 34% | 19% | 9% | 7.0 |
| Ryan Angwin | WL | 3.7 | - | - | 72% | 51% | 32% | 17% | 8% | 5.0 |
| Kieren Briggs | RK | 3.6 | - | - | 69% | 48% | 29% | 15% | 7% | 1.0 |
| Toby Greene | RR | 3.5 | - | - | 69% | 47% | 28% | 15% | 7% | 4.0 |
| Jake Riccardi | FPR | 3.0 | - | - | 57% | 34% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 3.0 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 2.9 | - | - | 55% | 33% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 5.0 |
| Xavier O'Halloran | HFFR | 2.9 | - | - | 56% | 33% | 17% | 8% | 3% | 2.0 |
| Joe Fonti | INT | 2.4 | - | - | 42% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 4.0 |
| Lachie Whitfield | HBFL | 2.4 | - | - | 44% | 23% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 3.0 |
| Callum Brown | HFFL | 2.2 | - | - | 39% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 3.0 |
| Harry Rowston | INT | 2.2 | - | - | 39% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4.0 |
| Josaia Delana | INT | 2.1 | - | - | 34% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Phoenix Gothard | CHF | 2.1 | - | - | 35% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 2.0 |
| Jake Stringer | FPL | 2.0 | - | - | 32% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Lachie Ash | HBFR | 2.0 | - | - | 31% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Connor Idun | BPR | 1.8 | - | - | 26% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Jayden Laverde | BPL | 1.8 | - | - | 26% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Max Gruzewski | INT | 1.8 | - | - | 28% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Harry Himmelberg | CHB | 1.7 | - | - | 24% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Jack Buckley | FB | 1.7 | - | - | 24% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Jesse Hogan | FF | 1.7 | - | - | 24% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1.0 |
St Kilda
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hugo Garcia | HFFL | 5.2 | - | - | 89% | 76% | 59% | 41% | 26% | 4.0 |
| Rowan Marshall | FPR | 4.3 | - | - | 80% | 62% | 43% | 26% | 14% | 1.0 |
| Max Hall | C | 3.6 | - | - | 70% | 49% | 30% | 16% | 7% | 1.0 |
| Hugh Boxshall | INT | 3.1 | - | - | 59% | 37% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 4.0 |
| Marcus Windhager | WL | 2.8 | - | - | 54% | 31% | 16% | 7% | 2% | 1.0 |
| Mattaes Phillipou | INT | 2.8 | - | - | 52% | 30% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1.0 |
| Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera | HBFR | 2.6 | - | - | 49% | 27% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1.0 |
| Darcy Wilson | WR | 2.4 | - | - | 44% | 23% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 1.0 |
| Jack Higgins | FPL | 2.3 | - | - | 42% | 21% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 2.0 |
| Jack Sinclair | R | 2.3 | - | - | 41% | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 3.0 |
| Tom De Koning | RK | 2.3 | - | - | 40% | 20% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1.0 |
| Sam Flanders | RR | 2.2 | - | - | 39% | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4.0 |
| Cooper Sharman | FF | 2.1 | - | - | 34% | 16% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Liam Ryan | INT | 2.0 | - | - | 31% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Liam Stocker | INT | 2.0 | - | - | 33% | 15% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 3.0 |
| Bradley Hill | CHB | 1.9 | - | - | 30% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Jack Carroll | HBFL | 1.9 | - | - | 29% | 12% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Alix Tauru | INT | 1.8 | - | - | 26% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Jack Silvagni | BPL | 1.8 | - | - | 26% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Mason Wood | CHF | 1.8 | - | - | 28% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Anthony Caminiti | BPR | 1.7 | - | - | 24% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Callum Wilkie | FB | 1.7 | - | - | 23% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0.0 |
| Mitch Owens | HFFR | 1.7 | - | - | 25% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 1.0 |