AFL · ROUND 2 · MCG
Richmond v Gold Coast SUNS
Sat 21 Mar 2026, 1:15pm AEDT (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
GCS by 36
GCS to win, 87% chance
RIC 13%87% GCS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GCS by 68
HIT Actual margin 68 · 32.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
29 Mar 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Hopper | R | 26.1 / 26.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.2 / 4.0 | 3.2 / 3.0 | 90 / 85 |
| Tim Taranto | RR | 25.0 / 26.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 3.3 / 3.0 | 4.5 / 12.0 | 91 / 114 |
| Sam Banks | HBFL | 22.4 / 19.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.4 / 5.0 | 2.4 / 2.0 | 84 / 74 |
| Dion Prestia | CHF | 22.0 / 18.0 | 0.3 / 1.0 | 3.0 / 4.0 | 3.4 / 5.0 | 77 / 82 |
| Jayden Short | CHB | 21.5 / 33.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.5 / 13.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 86 / 132 |
| Jack Ross | C | 21.0 / 24.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 4.0 | 3.9 / 4.0 | 82 / 88 |
| Nick Vlastuin | HBFR | 17.8 / 12.0 | 0.1 / 1.0 | 6.6 / 3.0 | 2.1 / 3.0 | 80 / 55 |
| Kane McAuliffe | WR | 17.3 / - | 0.3 / - | 3.5 / - | 3.6 / - | 69 / - |
| James Trezise | INT | 15.6 / 7.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 1.0 | 2.4 / 3.0 | 57 / 33 |
| Toby Nankervis | RK | 15.2 / 13.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 2.3 / 3.0 | 3.8 / 6.0 | 86 / 86 |
| Ben Miller | FB | 13.6 / 12.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 6.3 / 7.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 59 / 56 |
| Hugo Ralphsmith | WL | 13.3 / 17.0 | 0.3 / 1.0 | 3.3 / 3.0 | 2.0 / 1.0 | 54 / 59 |
| Seth Campbell | HFFL | 13.2 / 19.0 | 1.2 / 3.0 | 3.5 / 4.0 | 2.5 / 1.0 | 59 / 86 |
| Tom Brown | INT | 12.9 / 7.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 4.8 / 3.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 57 / 31 |
| Nathan Broad | BPR | 12.8 / 9.0 | 0.0 / 0.0 | 5.8 / 5.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 55 / 42 |
| Noah Balta | BPL | 11.3 / 11.0 | 0.5 / 0.0 | 4.8 / 5.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 58 / 42 |
| Sam Lalor | FPL | 10.8 / 17.0 | 0.7 / 1.0 | 3.1 / 4.0 | 2.1 / 4.0 | 51 / 79 |
| Sam Grlj | INT | 10.2 / 13.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 3.0 / 4.0 | 2.0 / 2.0 | 46 / 53 |
| Maurice Rioli | HFFR | 10.0 / 8.0 | 0.4 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 1.0 | 3.3 / 3.0 | 50 / 35 |
| Tom Lynch | FF | 9.8 / 3.0 | 2.1 / 0.0 | 4.3 / 0.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 59 / 8 |
| Steely Green | INT | 9.3 / 7.0 | 0.6 / 0.0 | 2.4 / 1.0 | 2.1 / 1.0 | 45 / 25 |
| Harry Armstrong | FPR | 8.6 / 4.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 | 3.4 / 3.0 | 1.9 / 0.0 | 45 / 23 |
| Mykelti Lefau | INT | 8.6 / 7.0 | 1.0 / 1.0 | 3.3 / 2.0 | 2.2 / 5.0 | 49 / 48 |
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Anderson | RR | 30.3 / 21.0 | 0.8 / 0.0 | 4.2 / 6.0 | 3.3 / 4.0 | 104 / 94 |
| Christian Petracca | R | 26.4 / 20.0 | 1.3 / 0.0 | 3.9 / 3.0 | 3.2 / 2.0 | 100 / 69 |
| John Noble | HBFL | 24.9 / 20.0 | 0.3 / 1.0 | 5.2 / 5.0 | 2.0 / 0.0 | 91 / 70 |
| Touk Miller | HFFL | 24.6 / 31.0 | 0.6 / 1.0 | 3.4 / 8.0 | 4.8 / 1.0 | 93 / 108 |
| Joel Jeffrey | INT | 19.8 / 23.0 | 0.2 / 1.0 | 5.5 / 13.0 | 1.8 / 2.0 | 78 / 111 |
| Daniel Rioli | HBFR | 19.6 / 15.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 4.2 / 4.0 | 2.2 / 3.0 | 73 / 59 |
| Wil Powell | C | 19.2 / 19.0 | 0.2 / 1.0 | 4.9 / 4.0 | 3.3 / 8.0 | 75 / 97 |
| Lachie Weller | WL | 17.6 / 7.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 3.4 / 4.0 | 2.1 / 1.0 | 67 / 36 |
| Bodhi Uwland | BPR | 17.2 / 29.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 6.1 / 16.0 | 1.8 / 1.0 | 70 / 133 |
| Mac Andrew | CHB | 16.8 / 18.0 | 0.2 / 0.0 | 6.1 / 3.0 | 1.7 / 2.0 | 66 / 61 |
| Alex Davies | INT | 16.3 / 18.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.0 / 3.0 | 4.9 / 6.0 | 66 / 79 |
| Sam Clohesy | WR | 16.1 / 21.0 | 0.5 / 1.0 | 4.0 / 6.0 | 2.4 / 4.0 | 65 / 92 |
| Zeke Uwland | INT | 14.9 / 15.0 | 0.9 / 0.0 | 3.5 / 3.0 | 2.2 / 0.0 | 65 / 46 |
| Bailey Humphrey | FPL | 13.3 / 14.0 | 1.3 / 0.0 | 3.1 / 3.0 | 3.1 / 2.0 | 64 / 53 |
| Jarrod Witts | RK | 12.5 / 14.0 | 0.3 / 0.0 | 2.6 / 2.0 | 2.5 / 6.0 | 89 / 91 |
| Sam Collins | FB | 12.2 / 14.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.3 / 10.0 | 1.8 / 0.0 | 55 / 68 |
| Will Graham | HFFR | 11.8 / 15.0 | 1.1 / 1.0 | 2.9 / 3.0 | 3.8 / 5.0 | 59 / 68 |
| Charlie Ballard | BPL | 11.7 / 16.0 | 0.1 / 0.0 | 5.0 / 8.0 | 1.7 / 0.0 | 52 / 65 |
| Jake Rogers | INT | 11.5 / 9.0 | 0.9 / 1.0 | 2.9 / 2.0 | 2.1 / 4.0 | 54 / 51 |
| Leonardo Lombard | FPR | 11.0 / 11.0 | 1.1 / 0.0 | 3.2 / 4.0 | 2.3 / 1.0 | 55 / 36 |
| Ethan Read | CHF | 10.1 / 12.0 | 1.3 / 4.0 | 3.5 / 11.0 | 1.9 / 1.0 | 57 / 99 |
| Ben Long | INT | 9.6 / 12.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 4.1 / 2.0 | 1.9 / 3.0 | 56 / 52 |
| Ben King | FF | 8.7 / 11.0 | 3.3 / 7.0 | 3.9 / 4.0 | 1.7 / 1.0 | 56 / 89 |