Richmond v Gold Coast SUNS

Sat 21 Mar 2026, 1:15pm AEDT (venue time)

FINAL HIT

OUR TIPNEW MODEL

GCS by 36

GCS to win, 87% chance

RIC 13%87% GCS

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

GCS by 68

HIT Actual margin 68 · 32.4 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

Richmond

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	15+	20+	25+	30+	35+	ACTUAL
Jacob Hopper	R	26.1	-	-	99%	90%	61%	24%	5%	26.0
Tim Taranto	RR	25.0	-	-	99%	87%	53%	18%	3%	26.0
Sam Banks	HBFL	22.4	-	-	96%	72%	32%	7%	1%	19.0
Dion Prestia	CHF	22.0	-	-	95%	69%	29%	6%	1%	18.0
Jayden Short	CHB	21.5	-	-	94%	65%	25%	5%	0%	33.0
Jack Ross	C	21.0	-	-	93%	61%	22%	4%	0%	24.0
Nick Vlastuin	HBFR	17.8	-	-	78%	34%	6%	0%	0%	12.0
Kane McAuliffe	WR	17.3	-	-	74%	29%	5%	0%	0%	-
James Trezise	INT	15.6	-	-	59%	16%	2%	0%	0%	7.0
Toby Nankervis	RK	15.2	-	-	56%	14%	1%	0%	0%	13.0
Ben Miller	FB	13.6	-	-	38%	6%	0%	0%	0%	12.0
Hugo Ralphsmith	WL	13.3	-	-	36%	5%	0%	0%	0%	17.0
Seth Campbell	HFFL	13.2	-	-	35%	5%	0%	0%	0%	19.0
Tom Brown	INT	12.9	-	-	31%	4%	0%	0%	0%	7.0
Nathan Broad	BPR	12.8	-	-	31%	4%	0%	0%	0%	9.0
Noah Balta	BPL	11.3	-	-	17%	1%	0%	0%	0%	11.0
Sam Lalor	FPL	10.8	-	-	13%	1%	0%	0%	0%	17.0
Sam Grlj	INT	10.2	-	-	9%	0%	0%	0%	0%	13.0
Maurice Rioli	HFFR	10.0	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	8.0
Tom Lynch	FF	9.8	-	-	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	3.0
Steely Green	INT	9.3	-	-	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7.0
Harry Armstrong	FPR	8.6	-	-	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	4.0
Mykelti Lefau	INT	8.6	-	-	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7.0

Gold Coast SUNS

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	15+	20+	25+	30+	35+	ACTUAL
Noah Anderson	RR	30.3	-	-	100%	98%	86%	55%	22%	21.0
Christian Petracca	R	26.4	-	-	99%	92%	64%	27%	6%	20.0
John Noble	HBFL	24.9	-	-	99%	86%	52%	18%	3%	20.0
Touk Miller	HFFL	24.6	-	-	98%	85%	50%	16%	3%	31.0
Joel Jeffrey	INT	19.8	-	-	89%	51%	14%	2%	0%	23.0
Daniel Rioli	HBFR	19.6	-	-	88%	49%	13%	2%	0%	15.0
Wil Powell	C	19.2	-	-	86%	45%	11%	1%	0%	19.0
Lachie Weller	WL	17.6	-	-	77%	32%	6%	0%	0%	7.0
Bodhi Uwland	BPR	17.2	-	-	74%	28%	5%	0%	0%	29.0
Mac Andrew	CHB	16.8	-	-	70%	25%	4%	0%	0%	18.0
Alex Davies	INT	16.3	-	-	66%	21%	3%	0%	0%	18.0
Sam Clohesy	WR	16.1	-	-	65%	20%	2%	0%	0%	21.0
Zeke Uwland	INT	14.9	-	-	53%	12%	1%	0%	0%	15.0
Bailey Humphrey	FPL	13.3	-	-	35%	5%	0%	0%	0%	14.0
Jarrod Witts	RK	12.5	-	-	27%	3%	0%	0%	0%	14.0
Sam Collins	FB	12.2	-	-	24%	2%	0%	0%	0%	14.0
Will Graham	HFFR	11.8	-	-	21%	2%	0%	0%	0%	15.0
Charlie Ballard	BPL	11.7	-	-	20%	2%	0%	0%	0%	16.0
Jake Rogers	INT	11.5	-	-	18%	1%	0%	0%	0%	9.0
Leonardo Lombard	FPR	11.0	-	-	14%	1%	0%	0%	0%	11.0
Ethan Read	CHF	10.1	-	-	9%	0%	0%	0%	0%	12.0
Ben Long	INT	9.6	-	-	6%	0%	0%	0%	0%	12.0
Ben King	FF	8.7	-	-	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	11.0