West Coast Eagles v North Melbourne

Sun 22 Mar 2026, 3:10pm AWST (venue time)

FINAL MISS

OUR TIPNEW MODEL

NM by 9

NM to win, 62% chance

WCE 38%62% NM

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

WCE by 17

MISS Actual margin 17 · 26.4 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

West Coast Eagles

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	15+	20+	25+	30+	35+	ACTUAL
Liam Baker	HBFR	21.5	-	-	94%	66%	25%	5%	0%	19.0
Tom McCarthy	R	21.4	-	-	94%	65%	25%	5%	0%	18.0
Elliot Yeo	C	20.4	-	-	91%	56%	18%	3%	0%	19.0
Tim Kelly	INT	20.1	-	-	90%	54%	16%	2%	0%	20.0
Harley Reid	RR	19.9	-	-	89%	52%	15%	2%	0%	30.0
Jack Graham	HFFL	19.8	-	-	89%	52%	15%	2%	0%	23.0
Ryan Maric	INT	19.4	-	-	87%	48%	13%	2%	0%	-
Liam Duggan	HBFL	19.0	-	-	85%	44%	11%	1%	0%	19.0
Brady Hough	BPR	16.3	-	-	66%	21%	3%	0%	0%	17.0
Harry Schoenberg	INT	16.3	-	-	66%	21%	3%	0%	0%	-
Cooper Duff-Tytler	INT	16.0	-	-	63%	19%	2%	0%	0%	12.0
Jacob Newton	INT	16.0	-	-	63%	19%	2%	0%	0%	6.0
Milan Murdock	INT	16.0	-	-	63%	19%	2%	0%	0%	16.0
Hamish Davis	WL	14.1	-	-	44%	8%	1%	0%	0%	18.0
Reuben Ginbey	BPL	13.6	-	-	38%	6%	0%	0%	0%	13.0
Tylar Young	FB	13.5	-	-	38%	6%	0%	0%	0%	8.0
Jamie Cripps	FPR	11.7	-	-	20%	2%	0%	0%	0%	10.0
Matt Flynn	RK	11.5	-	-	18%	1%	0%	0%	0%	12.0
Bo Allan	INT	11.1	-	-	16%	1%	0%	0%	0%	17.0
Harry Edwards	CHB	10.9	-	-	14%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Deven Robertson	WR	10.6	-	-	12%	1%	0%	0%	0%	26.0
Jake Waterman	FF	10.5	-	-	11%	1%	0%	0%	0%	14.0
Josh Lindsay	INT	10.0	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-
Willem Duursma	HFFR	10.0	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	15.0
Jobe Shanahan	CHF	7.7	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	14.0
Archer Reid	FPL	7.6	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	9.0

North Melbourne

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	15+	20+	25+	30+	35+	ACTUAL
Harry Sheezel	R	28.6	-	-	100%	96%	77%	42%	14%	39.0
Colby McKercher	INT	26.5	-	-	99%	92%	64%	28%	7%	20.0
Luke Davies-Uniacke	RR	25.1	-	-	99%	87%	53%	19%	4%	32.0
Caleb Daniel	CHB	23.7	-	-	98%	80%	42%	12%	2%	25.0
Luke Parker	INT	23.5	-	-	98%	79%	40%	11%	2%	22.0
Jy Simpkin	WL	21.8	-	-	95%	68%	27%	5%	0%	23.0
Tom Powell	C	19.4	-	-	87%	47%	12%	2%	0%	23.0
Dylan Stephens	WR	16.8	-	-	71%	25%	4%	0%	0%	17.0
Tristan Xerri	RK	16.5	-	-	68%	22%	3%	0%	0%	25.0
Luke McDonald	INT	16.1	-	-	64%	20%	2%	0%	0%	12.0
Finn O'Sullivan	HBFL	15.4	-	-	57%	15%	2%	0%	0%	18.0
Lachy Dovaston	FPR	14.9	-	-	53%	12%	1%	0%	0%	8.0
Griffin Logue	FB	11.7	-	-	20%	2%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Charlie Comben	BPR	11.6	-	-	19%	2%	0%	0%	0%	11.0
Cameron Zurhaar	FPL	10.7	-	-	12%	1%	0%	0%	0%	11.0
Toby Pink	BPL	10.5	-	-	11%	1%	0%	0%	0%	11.0
Jacob Konstanty	HFFR	10.3	-	-	10%	0%	0%	0%	0%	9.0
Paul Curtis	HFFL	10.3	-	-	10%	0%	0%	0%	0%	12.0
Robert Hansen Jr	INT	10.2	-	-	9%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-
Zac Banch	INT	10.1	-	-	9%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-
Tom Blamires	HBFR	9.8	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	16.0
Jack Darling	INT	9.1	-	-	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	5.0
Nick Larkey	FF	8.7	-	-	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	10.0
Zane Duursma	INT	8.6	-	-	3%	0%	0%	0%	0%	11.0
Callum Coleman-Jones	INT	8.2	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	-
Cooper Trembath	CHF	7.9	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	7.0