West Coast Eagles v North Melbourne

Sun 22 Mar 2026, 3:10pm AWST (venue time)

FINAL MISS

OUR TIPNEW MODEL

NM by 9

NM to win, 62% chance

WCE 38%62% NM

BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

WCE by 17

MISS Actual margin 17 · 26.4 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin NEW MODEL 29 Mar 2026

Player predictions

Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

West Coast Eagles

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Jake Waterman	FF	1.9	-	-	85%	56%	29%	12%	4%	1.0
Jobe Shanahan	CHF	1.2	-	-	69%	33%	12%	3%	1%	2.0
Jamie Cripps	FPR	1.0	-	-	61%	25%	7%	2%	0%	3.0
Cooper Duff-Tytler	INT	0.9	-	-	60%	23%	6%	1%	0%	2.0
Jacob Newton	INT	0.9	-	-	60%	23%	6%	1%	0%	0.0
Milan Murdock	INT	0.9	-	-	60%	23%	6%	1%	0%	2.0
Archer Reid	FPL	0.6	-	-	48%	14%	3%	0%	0%	2.0
Harley Reid	RR	0.6	-	-	47%	14%	3%	0%	0%	0.0
Willem Duursma	HFFR	0.5	-	-	42%	10%	2%	0%	0%	2.0
Elliot Yeo	C	0.4	-	-	34%	7%	1%	0%	0%	2.0
Harry Schoenberg	INT	0.4	-	-	32%	6%	1%	0%	0%	-
Josh Lindsay	INT	0.4	-	-	32%	6%	1%	0%	0%	-
Hamish Davis	WL	0.3	-	-	22%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Jack Graham	HFFL	0.3	-	-	24%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Liam Baker	HBFR	0.3	-	-	29%	5%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Matt Flynn	RK	0.3	-	-	24%	3%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Tim Kelly	INT	0.3	-	-	27%	4%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Deven Robertson	WR	0.2	-	-	19%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Ryan Maric	INT	0.2	-	-	16%	1%	0%	0%	0%	-
Tom McCarthy	R	0.2	-	-	16%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Bo Allan	INT	0.1	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Brady Hough	BPR	0.1	-	-	8%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Liam Duggan	HBFL	0.1	-	-	7%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Harry Edwards	CHB	0.0	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Reuben Ginbey	BPL	0.0	-	-	2%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Tylar Young	FB	0.0	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0

North Melbourne

NO LINEUP

PLAYER	POS	PREDICTED	50% RANGE	90% RANGE	1+	2+	3+	4+	5+	ACTUAL
Nick Larkey	FF	2.5	-	-	91%	70%	44%	23%	10%	6.0
Paul Curtis	HFFL	1.9	-	-	84%	55%	28%	12%	4%	2.0
Cameron Zurhaar	FPL	1.7	-	-	81%	50%	24%	9%	3%	2.0
Cooper Trembath	CHF	1.3	-	-	74%	39%	15%	5%	1%	0.0
Jack Darling	INT	1.1	-	-	67%	30%	10%	3%	1%	0.0
Lachy Dovaston	FPR	0.9	-	-	58%	22%	6%	1%	0%	1.0
Jacob Konstanty	HFFR	0.8	-	-	54%	19%	4%	1%	0%	1.0
Luke Parker	INT	0.6	-	-	44%	12%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Zane Duursma	INT	0.6	-	-	48%	14%	3%	0%	0%	0.0
Harry Sheezel	R	0.5	-	-	40%	9%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Jy Simpkin	WL	0.5	-	-	39%	9%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Luke Davies-Uniacke	RR	0.5	-	-	40%	10%	2%	0%	0%	0.0
Robert Hansen Jr	INT	0.5	-	-	39%	9%	1%	0%	0%	-
Tom Blamires	HBFR	0.5	-	-	39%	9%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Callum Coleman-Jones	INT	0.4	-	-	34%	6%	1%	0%	0%	-
Dylan Stephens	WR	0.4	-	-	34%	7%	1%	0%	0%	0.0
Tom Powell	C	0.4	-	-	36%	8%	1%	0%	0%	1.0
Zac Banch	INT	0.4	-	-	36%	7%	1%	0%	0%	-
Colby McKercher	INT	0.3	-	-	24%	3%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Finn O'Sullivan	HBFL	0.2	-	-	16%	1%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Tristan Xerri	RK	0.2	-	-	18%	2%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Caleb Daniel	CHB	0.1	-	-	12%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Charlie Comben	BPR	0.1	-	-	11%	1%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Griffin Logue	FB	0.0	-	-	4%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0
Luke McDonald	INT	0.0	-	-	1%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1.0
Toby Pink	BPL	0.0	-	-	5%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0.0