AFL · ROUND 2 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v North Melbourne
Sun 22 Mar 2026, 3:10pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIPNEW MODEL
NM by 9
NM to win, 62% chance
WCE 38%62% NM
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WCE by 17
MISS Actual margin 17 · 26.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
NEW MODEL
29 Mar 2026
Marks: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liam Duggan | HBFL | 6.1 | - | - | 86% | 73% | 58% | 42% | 28% | 2.0 |
| Tylar Young | FB | 5.6 | - | - | 81% | 66% | 49% | 33% | 20% | 1.0 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 5.5 | - | - | 80% | 64% | 47% | 32% | 19% | 6.0 |
| Harry Edwards | CHB | 5.4 | - | - | 79% | 63% | 46% | 30% | 18% | 0.0 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 5.0 | - | - | 74% | 57% | 39% | 24% | 14% | 7.0 |
| Reuben Ginbey | BPL | 4.0 | - | - | 56% | 36% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 2.0 |
| Ryan Maric | INT | 4.0 | - | - | 57% | 38% | 22% | 11% | 5% | - |
| Tom McCarthy | R | 4.0 | - | - | 57% | 37% | 22% | 11% | 5% | 6.0 |
| Liam Baker | HBFR | 3.9 | - | - | 56% | 36% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 1.0 |
| Jamie Cripps | FPR | 3.7 | - | - | 51% | 32% | 18% | 8% | 4% | 1.0 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | INT | 3.6 | - | - | 49% | 30% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 2.0 |
| Jacob Newton | INT | 3.6 | - | - | 49% | 30% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 0.0 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 3.6 | - | - | 48% | 29% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 8.0 |
| Milan Murdock | INT | 3.6 | - | - | 49% | 30% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 0.0 |
| Harry Schoenberg | INT | 3.3 | - | - | 43% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | - |
| Matt Flynn | RK | 3.3 | - | - | 43% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1.0 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 3.2 | - | - | 40% | 22% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 4.0 |
| Bo Allan | INT | 3.1 | - | - | 37% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 3.0 |
| Tim Kelly | INT | 3.1 | - | - | 37% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | 4.0 |
| Hamish Davis | WL | 2.9 | - | - | 33% | 17% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 2.0 |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | 2.8 | - | - | 30% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | - |
| Willem Duursma | HFFR | 2.8 | - | - | 30% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 7.0 |
| Archer Reid | FPL | 2.7 | - | - | 28% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 4.0 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 2.6 | - | - | 27% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Jack Graham | HFFL | 2.6 | - | - | 26% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 1.0 |
| Deven Robertson | WR | 2.5 | - | - | 25% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 0% | 3.0 |
North Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Sheezel | R | 5.5 | - | - | 79% | 64% | 46% | 31% | 18% | 3.0 |
| Charlie Comben | BPR | 5.4 | - | - | 79% | 63% | 45% | 30% | 18% | 6.0 |
| Griffin Logue | FB | 5.0 | - | - | 73% | 56% | 38% | 23% | 13% | 0.0 |
| Toby Pink | BPL | 5.0 | - | - | 74% | 56% | 39% | 24% | 14% | 2.0 |
| Luke McDonald | INT | 4.8 | - | - | 71% | 53% | 36% | 22% | 12% | 3.0 |
| Finn O'Sullivan | HBFL | 4.6 | - | - | 68% | 49% | 32% | 18% | 10% | 2.0 |
| Nick Larkey | FF | 4.6 | - | - | 68% | 49% | 32% | 19% | 10% | 6.0 |
| Dylan Stephens | WR | 4.4 | - | - | 64% | 45% | 28% | 16% | 8% | 4.0 |
| Jy Simpkin | WL | 4.3 | - | - | 63% | 44% | 27% | 15% | 7% | 6.0 |
| Caleb Daniel | CHB | 4.0 | - | - | 56% | 36% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 3.0 |
| Colby McKercher | INT | 4.0 | - | - | 56% | 36% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 1.0 |
| Luke Davies-Uniacke | RR | 3.8 | - | - | 53% | 33% | 19% | 9% | 4% | 3.0 |
| Luke Parker | INT | 3.7 | - | - | 50% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 4% | 4.0 |
| Paul Curtis | HFFL | 3.6 | - | - | 48% | 29% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 4.0 |
| Tom Powell | C | 3.6 | - | - | 48% | 28% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1.0 |
| Lachy Dovaston | FPR | 3.5 | - | - | 47% | 28% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1.0 |
| Cameron Zurhaar | FPL | 3.4 | - | - | 45% | 26% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 2.0 |
| Jack Darling | INT | 3.3 | - | - | 42% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 2.0 |
| Zane Duursma | INT | 3.2 | - | - | 39% | 21% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 4.0 |
| Cooper Trembath | CHF | 3.0 | - | - | 34% | 18% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 4.0 |
| Robert Hansen Jr | INT | 2.8 | - | - | 31% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | - |
| Tom Blamires | HBFR | 2.8 | - | - | 30% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0.0 |
| Zac Banch | INT | 2.8 | - | - | 30% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | - |
| Callum Coleman-Jones | INT | 2.7 | - | - | 29% | 14% | 6% | 2% | 1% | - |
| Jacob Konstanty | HFFR | 2.5 | - | - | 24% | 10% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 2.0 |
| Tristan Xerri | RK | 2.1 | - | - | 16% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 4.0 |