AFL · ROUND 20 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Adelaide Crows v Collingwood
Thu 23 Jul 2026, 7:00pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
ADE by 11
ADE to win, 66% chance
ADE 66%34% COL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
COL by 34
MISS Actual margin 34 · 44.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wayne Milera | HBFR | 27.4 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 105 / inside our 50% range: 111 |
| Jordan Dawson | C | 27.1 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 114 / inside our 50% range: 99 |
| Izak Rankine | HFFL | 24.8 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 102 / inside our 50% range: 103 |
| Sam Berry | RR | 23.8 / inside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 98 / inside our 50% range: 112 |
| Josh Worrell | CHB | 23.2 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| James Peatling | INT | 22.4 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 87 / outside our 90% range: 43 |
| Hugo Hall-Kahan | INT | 20.2 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Jake Soligo | FPL | 18.5 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Luke Nankervis | WL | 17.3 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Alex Neal-Bullen | WR | 17.0 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Isaac Cumming | HBFL | 16.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Max Michalanney | BPR | 16.8 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Daniel Curtin | R | 16.3 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 94 |
| Josh Rachele | HFFR | 16.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Ben Keays | INT | 15.3 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Zac Taylor | FPR | 14.1 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 65 / outside our 90% range: 26 |
| Nick Murray | BPL | 13.6 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Lachlan McAndrew | RK | 12.8 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Riley Thilthorpe | CHF | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| James Borlase | FB | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Taylor Walker | FF | 11.6 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Finnbar Maley | INT | 8.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Toby Murray | INT | 7.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | CHF | 31.0 / inside our 90% range: 39.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 110 / inside our 50% range: 116 |
| Josh Daicos | CHB | 27.5 / outside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 101 / inside our 90% range: 64 |
| Jordan De Goey | R | 22.8 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Scott Pendlebury | INT | 22.6 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 73 / outside our 90% range: 114 |
| Dan Houston | WL | 22.3 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Patrick Lipinski | WR | 20.2 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Jack Crisp | INT | 19.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Jeremy Howe | FB | 19.6 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Darcy Cameron | RK | 18.8 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 89 / outside our 90% range: 137 |
| Brayden Maynard | BPR | 18.5 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Edward Allan | C | 18.0 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Ned Long | RR | 17.5 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Isaac Quaynor | HBFR | 17.1 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Harry Perryman | INT | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Steele Sidebottom | INT | 16.5 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Beau McCreery | HFFR | 13.5 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Billy Frampton | BPL | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Tim Membrey | FPR | 11.3 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Harvey Harrison | HFFL | 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Angus Anderson | FF | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Liam Puncher | HBFL | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Daniel McStay | FPL | 8.9 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Charlie West | INT | 7.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 37 / inside our 50% range: 31 |