AFL · ROUND 20 · GABBA
Brisbane Lions v Port Adelaide
Sun 26 Jul 2026, 1:10pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
BRI by 41
BRI to win, 93% chance
BRI 93%7% PA
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
BRI by 59
HIT Actual margin 59 · 17.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ashcroft | C | 28.6 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 107 / inside our 90% range: 126 |
| Lachie Neale | INT | 28.2 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 97 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Darcy Wilmot | HBFL | 25.3 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 94 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Dayne Zorko | HBFR | 25.0 / inside our 90% range: 34.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 95 / inside our 90% range: 130 |
| Josh Dunkley | RR | 23.2 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 6.3 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 101 / inside our 50% range: 107 |
| Zac Bailey | WR | 22.4 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 96 / inside our 90% range: 133 |
| Jaspa Fletcher | INT | 21.4 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 77 / inside our 90% range: 109 |
| Hugh McCluggage | R | 20.4 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 115 |
| Levi Ashcroft | HFFR | 20.0 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Jarrod Berry | WL | 19.7 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Cam Rayner | FF | 17.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Ryan Lester | BPR | 16.8 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.8 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Harris Andrews | FB | 16.5 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.2 / outside our 90% range: 13.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 102 |
| Noah Answerth | BPL | 15.7 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| James Tunstill | INT | 14.4 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Sam Draper | RK | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Conor McKenna | INT | 12.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 24 |
| Kai Lohmann | FPR | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 87 |
| Ty Gallop | CHB | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Charlie Cameron | HFFL | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Darcy Fort | INT | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Logan Morris | CHF | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Eric Hipwood | FPL | 10.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Horne-Francis | C | 21.9 / inside our 90% range: 30.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 93 / inside our 50% range: 108 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | HBFL | 21.4 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Ollie Wines | INT | 20.6 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Jase Burgoyne | R | 20.5 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Logan Evans | BPL | 19.3 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Willem Drew | WR | 18.1 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Miles Bergman | RR | 17.3 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Aliir Aliir | CHB | 14.2 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Jack Watkins | WL | 13.7 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Christian Moraes | INT | 13.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Lachie Jones | HBFR | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Josh Lai | BPR | 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Joe Berry | INT | 11.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 52 / outside our 90% range: 13 |
| Brandon Zerk-Thatcher | FB | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 21 |
| Mitch Georgiades | FPR | 10.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Xavier Bamert | HFFL | 9.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Balyn O'Brien | INT | 9.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 43 / outside our 90% range: 7 |
| Corey Durdin | FPL | 9.1 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Todd Marshall | CHF | 8.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Mitch Zadow | HFFR | 8.0 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Jack Whitlock | FF | 7.7 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Dante Visentini | INT | 6.0 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 58 |