AFL · ROUND 20 · MARVEL STADIUM
Carlton v Gold Coast SUNS
Sat 25 Jul 2026, 1:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
CAR by 16
CAR to win, 73% chance
CAR 73%27% GCS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
CAR by 13
HIT Actual margin 13 · 2.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Carlton
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Walsh | R | 29.1 / inside our 50% range: 31.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 106 / inside our 50% range: 116 |
| Patrick Cripps | C | 27.5 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 101 / inside our 50% range: 103 |
| Jagga Smith | RR | 25.7 / inside our 90% range: 31.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 91 / inside our 90% range: 114 |
| Nic Newman | HBFL | 24.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.9 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 100 / outside our 90% range: 5 |
| George Hewett | INT | 24.1 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Oliver Florent | BPR | 22.1 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Adam Cerra | WR | 21.1 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 87 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Blake Acres | INT | 20.5 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Cooper Lord | FPR | 19.9 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Billy Wilson | HBFR | 19.3 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 99 |
| Nick Haynes | INT | 18.3 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / outside our 90% range: 13.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 105 |
| Ben Ainsworth | HFFL | 17.9 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Lachlan Cowan | BPL | 17.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 96 |
| Will Hayward | CHF | 16.1 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Matthew Cottrell | WL | 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Francis Evans | HFFR | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Marc Pittonet | RK | 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Harry Dean | FB | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Wade Derksen | INT | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Mitch McGovern | CHB | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Brodie Kemp | FF | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Talor Byrne | FPL | 10.0 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 95 |
| Lewis Young | INT | 9.9 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Anderson | C | 28.3 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 110 / inside our 50% range: 110 |
| Touk Miller | WL | 26.0 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 102 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| John Noble | HBFL | 25.5 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 104 / outside our 90% range: 61 |
| Matt Rowell | RR | 24.9 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 104 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Bodhi Uwland | FB | 24.4 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 95 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Christian Petracca | R | 23.7 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 92 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Daniel Rioli | WR | 21.1 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 86 / outside our 90% range: 47 |
| Zeke Uwland | CHB | 20.6 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 85 / outside our 90% range: 32 |
| Wil Powell | HBFR | 20.4 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 93 / outside our 90% range: 41 |
| Mac Andrew | BPL | 18.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Joel Jeffrey | INT | 17.8 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Beau Addinsall | CHF | 16.5 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Jai Murray | INT | 15.8 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Leonardo Lombard | HFFL | 14.6 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 73 / outside our 90% range: 35 |
| Sam Collins | BPR | 14.3 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Bailey Humphrey | HFFR | 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Ned Moyle | RK | 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 87 / outside our 90% range: 42 |
| Ben Long | FPL | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Charlie Ballard | INT | 9.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 24 |
| Dylan Patterson | INT | 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Jed Walter | FF | 8.3 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Ben King | FPR | 8.1 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Caleb Lewis | INT | 7.8 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 46 / outside our 90% range: 4 |