AFL · ROUND 20 · OPTUS STADIUM
Fremantle v West Coast Eagles
Fri 24 Jul 2026, 6:10pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
FRE by 44
FRE to win, 94% chance
FRE 94%6% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
FRE by 70
HIT Actual margin 70 · 25.6 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Brayshaw | C | 104 | 88 to 120 | 64 to 144 | 91% | 83% | 70% | 58% | 40% | inside our 50% range: 104 |
| Caleb Serong | RR | 100 | 84 to 116 | 60 to 140 | 89% | 79% | 64% | 51% | 35% | inside our 50% range: 102 |
| Luke Jackson | RK | 99 | 83 to 115 | 59 to 139 | 88% | 77% | 63% | 50% | 33% | inside our 50% range: 109 |
| Shai Bolton | R | 92 | 76 to 108 | 53 to 131 | 86% | 75% | 57% | 39% | 22% | inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Jordan Clark | HBFL | 90 | 74 to 106 | 51 to 129 | 85% | 71% | 52% | 35% | 20% | inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Murphy Reid | HFFL | 86 | 71 to 102 | 48 to 125 | 82% | 64% | 46% | 29% | 15% | inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Luke Ryan | CHB | 86 | 71 to 102 | 48 to 125 | 80% | 66% | 44% | 28% | 15% | inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Karl Worner | INT | 82 | 66 to 97 | 44 to 120 | 75% | 56% | 36% | 21% | 11% | inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Josh Treacy | FPR | 82 | 66 to 97 | 44 to 120 | 75% | 56% | 36% | 21% | 11% | outside our 90% range: 36 |
| Matthew Johnson | WL | 80 | 65 to 95 | 42 to 118 | 70% | 52% | 35% | 21% | 10% | inside our 90% range: 107 |
| Neil Erasmus | INT | 75 | 60 to 90 | 38 to 112 | 56% | 41% | 27% | 13% | 6% | inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Nathan O'Driscoll | WR | 75 | 60 to 90 | 37 to 112 | 56% | 40% | 26% | 12% | 6% | inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Patrick Voss | FPL | 72 | 57 to 87 | 35 to 109 | 53% | 37% | 21% | 12% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Judd McVee | HBFR | 69 | 54 to 83 | 32 to 105 | 47% | 29% | 18% | 8% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Corey Wagner | INT | 68 | 53 to 82 | 31 to 104 | 47% | 30% | 17% | 8% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Heath Chapman | BPR | 66 | 52 to 81 | 30 to 103 | 44% | 28% | 15% | 7% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Michael Frederick | CHF | 66 | 52 to 81 | 30 to 102 | 43% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Jye Amiss | FF | 66 | 51 to 80 | 29 to 102 | 43% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 95 |
| Sam Switkowski | HFFR | 63 | 48 to 77 | 27 to 99 | 34% | 20% | 11% | 4% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Oscar McDonald | BPL | 60 | 46 to 75 | 25 to 96 | 28% | 15% | 8% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Isaiah Dudley | INT | 60 | 46 to 74 | 24 to 96 | 27% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Alex Pearce | FB | 50 | 36 to 63 | 15 to 84 | 18% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Mason Cox | INT | 48 | 34 to 62 | 14 to 82 | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 67 |
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom McCarthy | HBFR | 95 | 79 to 110 | 55 to 134 | 87% | 76% | 60% | 41% | 29% | inside our 50% range: 93 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 85 | 70 to 100 | 46 to 123 | 79% | 63% | 41% | 26% | 13% | inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 83 | 68 to 99 | 45 to 122 | 78% | 60% | 39% | 23% | 13% | inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Liam Duggan | BPL | 80 | 65 to 96 | 43 to 118 | 71% | 53% | 36% | 21% | 10% | inside our 90% range: 64 |
| Tim Kelly | HFFL | 80 | 65 to 96 | 42 to 118 | 71% | 53% | 36% | 21% | 10% | inside our 90% range: 113 |
| Marcus Herbert | HBFL | 76 | 61 to 92 | 39 to 114 | 59% | 43% | 28% | 14% | 7% | outside our 90% range: 118 |
| Willem Duursma | WL | 75 | 60 to 90 | 37 to 112 | 56% | 40% | 26% | 12% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 71 | 56 to 86 | 34 to 108 | 51% | 36% | 21% | 12% | 5% | outside our 90% range: 27 |
| Oliver Francou | R | 68 | 53 to 83 | 31 to 105 | 45% | 28% | 17% | 7% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 67 | 52 to 82 | 30 to 103 | 44% | 29% | 15% | 7% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Ryan Maric | INT | 64 | 50 to 79 | 28 to 100 | 36% | 23% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 62 | 48 to 76 | 26 to 98 | 32% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Brandon Starcevich | BPR | 61 | 47 to 75 | 25 to 97 | 30% | 18% | 10% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Tom Cole | HFFR | 60 | 46 to 74 | 24 to 96 | 27% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Milan Murdock | FPL | 59 | 45 to 73 | 24 to 95 | 25% | 14% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Bo Allan | WR | 58 | 43 to 72 | 22 to 93 | 28% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Hamish Davis | INT | 56 | 42 to 70 | 20 to 91 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 55 | 41 to 69 | 20 to 90 | 23% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 24 |
| Jack Williams | FPR | 53 | 39 to 66 | 18 to 87 | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Brady Hough | INT | 49 | 36 to 63 | 15 to 84 | 17% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 93 |
| Rhett Bazzo | FB | 48 | 35 to 62 | 14 to 82 | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Sandy Brock | INT | 41 | 28 to 55 | 8 to 74 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Harvey Johnston | INT | 41 | 28 to 54 | 8 to 74 | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 48 |