AFL · ROUND 20 · ENGIE STADIUM
GWS GIANTS v Sydney Swans
Sat 25 Jul 2026, 4:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
SYD by 15
SYD to win, 71% chance
GWS 29%71% SYD
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SYD by 51
HIT Actual margin 51 · 36.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Finn Callaghan | RR | 102 | 86 to 119 | 62 to 143 | 91% | 81% | 67% | 56% | 39% | inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Lachie Ash | HBFR | 102 | 86 to 118 | 62 to 142 | 91% | 81% | 67% | 56% | 38% | inside our 50% range: 102 |
| Clayton Oliver | C | 100 | 84 to 116 | 60 to 139 | 88% | 77% | 64% | 51% | 33% | inside our 50% range: 104 |
| Lachie Whitfield | CHB | 94 | 79 to 110 | 55 to 134 | 87% | 75% | 60% | 41% | 29% | inside our 50% range: 104 |
| Connor Idun | BPL | 84 | 68 to 99 | 46 to 122 | 78% | 61% | 40% | 24% | 13% | inside our 50% range: 99 |
| Harry Himmelberg | HBFL | 79 | 64 to 94 | 41 to 117 | 70% | 51% | 34% | 20% | 9% | inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 74 | 59 to 89 | 37 to 112 | 55% | 40% | 25% | 12% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Ryan Angwin | WL | 73 | 58 to 88 | 36 to 110 | 55% | 38% | 22% | 13% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Nicholas Madden | RK | 71 | 56 to 86 | 34 to 108 | 51% | 32% | 19% | 9% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Harry Rowston | R | 70 | 55 to 85 | 33 to 107 | 49% | 30% | 19% | 9% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Joe Fonti | INT | 69 | 54 to 84 | 32 to 106 | 48% | 29% | 18% | 9% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Stephen Coniglio | HFFR | 67 | 52 to 81 | 30 to 103 | 44% | 28% | 15% | 7% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Jake Stringer | FPL | 65 | 51 to 80 | 29 to 101 | 38% | 24% | 13% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Callum Brown | FPR | 65 | 50 to 80 | 29 to 101 | 37% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Toby Bedford | INT | 65 | 50 to 79 | 29 to 101 | 36% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Xavier O'Halloran | INT | 63 | 49 to 78 | 27 to 99 | 34% | 21% | 11% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Aaron Cadman | FF | 63 | 48 to 78 | 27 to 99 | 34% | 21% | 11% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Jayden Laverde | BPR | 62 | 48 to 77 | 26 to 98 | 33% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Sam Taylor | FB | 61 | 47 to 76 | 25 to 97 | 31% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Jack Ough | INT | 56 | 42 to 70 | 21 to 91 | 25% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Max Gruzewski | CHF | 54 | 40 to 68 | 19 to 89 | 22% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Conor Stone | INT | 54 | 40 to 68 | 19 to 89 | 22% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Riley Hamilton | HFFL | 50 | 36 to 63 | 15 to 84 | 18% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 19 |
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaac Heeney | RR | 103 | 87 to 119 | 63 to 143 | 91% | 83% | 68% | 57% | 39% | inside our 90% range: 80 |
| Errol Gulden | C | 102 | 86 to 118 | 62 to 142 | 90% | 81% | 67% | 56% | 38% | inside our 90% range: 137 |
| Brodie Grundy | RK | 102 | 86 to 118 | 62 to 142 | 90% | 81% | 67% | 55% | 37% | inside our 50% range: 106 |
| Callum Mills | BPL | 100 | 84 to 116 | 60 to 140 | 89% | 79% | 65% | 51% | 35% | inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Chad Warner | R | 97 | 81 to 113 | 57 to 136 | 88% | 78% | 64% | 46% | 31% | inside our 50% range: 106 |
| Nick Blakey | CHB | 94 | 78 to 110 | 55 to 134 | 86% | 75% | 60% | 40% | 27% | inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Tom McCartin | BPR | 86 | 70 to 101 | 47 to 124 | 80% | 65% | 43% | 28% | 15% | outside our 90% range: 31 |
| Riley Bice | HBFR | 81 | 65 to 96 | 43 to 119 | 71% | 53% | 36% | 21% | 10% | inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Matt Roberts | WL | 79 | 64 to 95 | 42 to 117 | 70% | 52% | 34% | 20% | 9% | inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Jai Serong | WR | 77 | 62 to 92 | 39 to 114 | 61% | 43% | 29% | 15% | 7% | outside our 90% range: 39 |
| Jake Lloyd | CHF | 76 | 61 to 91 | 38 to 114 | 58% | 43% | 28% | 14% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Tom Papley | FPL | 74 | 59 to 89 | 37 to 112 | 55% | 40% | 25% | 12% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 75 |
| James Rowbottom | INT | 73 | 58 to 88 | 36 to 110 | 56% | 38% | 23% | 13% | 6% | outside our 90% range: 120 |
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 71 | 56 to 86 | 34 to 108 | 51% | 32% | 19% | 9% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 70 |
| James Jordon | HFFL | 70 | 56 to 85 | 34 to 107 | 50% | 32% | 19% | 9% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Braeden Campbell | HFFR | 66 | 52 to 81 | 30 to 102 | 43% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Logan McDonald | FPR | 62 | 48 to 76 | 26 to 98 | 32% | 21% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Dane Rampe | HBFL | 62 | 47 to 76 | 26 to 98 | 31% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Harry Kyle | INT | 53 | 39 to 67 | 18 to 88 | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Hayden McLean | INT | 51 | 37 to 65 | 17 to 86 | 17% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Malcolm Rosas | INT | 50 | 36 to 64 | 16 to 84 | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 14 |
| Billy Cootee | INT | 48 | 34 to 62 | 14 to 82 | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 54 |
| William Edwards | FB | 48 | 34 to 62 | 14 to 82 | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 36 |