AFL · ROUND 20 · MCG
Melbourne v Geelong Cats
Fri 24 Jul 2026, 7:40pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GEE by 5
GEE to win, 58% chance
MEL 42%58% GEE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 20
HIT Actual margin 20 · 14.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Bowey | BPL | 27.4 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 105 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Jack Steele | RR | 26.8 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 100 / inside our 50% range: 101 |
| Tom Sparrow | C | 26.8 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.5 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 105 / inside our 50% range: 109 |
| Kysaiah Pickett | R | 25.7 / outside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 105 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Trent Rivers | HBFL | 24.6 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 94 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Max Gawn | RK | 23.7 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 111 / inside our 50% range: 110 |
| Ed Langdon | INT | 22.7 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.4 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Joel Fitzgerald | INT | 20.6 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Harvey Langford | WR | 19.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Koltyn Tholstrup | WL | 18.7 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Blake Howes | HBFR | 17.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Kade Chandler | CHF | 16.2 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Jake Lever | FB | 16.1 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Tom McDonald | INT | 15.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Bayley Fritsch | FPR | 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Bailey Laurie | INT | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Jacob van Rooyen | FF | 13.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Harry Sharp | HFFR | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Lukas Cooke | BPR | 12.5 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Harrison Petty | CHB | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.8 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Latrelle Pickett | FPL | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 53 / outside our 90% range: 14 |
| Paddy Cross | HFFL | 9.8 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Matthew Jefferson | INT | 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 18 |
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Smith | C | 31.4 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 110 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Lawson Humphries | INT | 23.2 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Tanner Bruhn | HBFR | 22.8 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 101 |
| Tom Stewart | BPL | 22.6 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Gryan Miers | HFFL | 21.7 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| James Worpel | INT | 21.1 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Tom Atkins | RR | 20.9 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Oliver Dempsey | WL | 20.5 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Shaun Mannagh | INT | 17.9 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Zach Guthrie | HBFL | 16.9 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 89 |
| Jhye Clark | BPR | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Mark O'Connor | INT | 16.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Connor O'Sullivan | FB | 15.9 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Oisin Mullin | R | 15.9 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Patrick Dangerfield | FPL | 15.6 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Mark Blicavs | WR | 14.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Jack Henry | CHB | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Brad Close | HFFR | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Oliver Henry | INT | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Mitchell Edwards | RK | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Shannon Neale | FF | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Oliver Wiltshire | CHF | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Jay Polkinghorne | FPR | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 63 |