HBin HUMAN BEHAVIOUR INSIGHTS
Australian FootballAFL2026 Round 20NM v STK
AFL · ROUND 20 · MARVEL STADIUM

North Melbourne v St Kilda

Sun 26 Jul 2026, 3:15pm AEST (venue time)

FINAL HIT
OUR TIP

STK by 17

STK to win, 74% chance

NM 26%74% STK
BY HOW MUCH

No margin range published for this match.

RESULT

STK by 31

HIT Actual margin 31 · 14.2 points off our margin

MATCH MODEL Tip and margin 18 Jun 2026

Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.

Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range

North Melbourne

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Harry Sheezel R 31.5 / inside our 50% range: 29.00.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.05.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.05.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0117 / inside our 50% range: 118
Luke Davies-Uniacke C 26.9 / inside our 90% range: 17.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.04.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0101 / inside our 90% range: 68
Luke Parker BPR 25.6 / inside our 50% range: 25.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.06.3 / inside our 50% range: 8.01.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0103 / inside our 50% range: 91
Caleb Daniel CHB 25.3 / inside our 50% range: 24.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.05.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.01.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0102 / inside our 90% range: 81
Colby McKercher HBFR 24.5 / inside our 90% range: 19.00.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.092 / inside our 90% range: 69
Jy Simpkin HFFR 22.7 / inside our 90% range: 29.00.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.04.8 / outside our 90% range: 9.02.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.091 / inside our 90% range: 107
Finn O'Sullivan RR 22.0 / inside our 50% range: 23.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.04.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.03.4 / outside our 90% range: 0.087 / inside our 90% range: 71
Cooper Harvey INT 20.4 / inside our 90% range: 16.00.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.01.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.080 / inside our 90% range: 56
Dylan Stephens WR 20.2 / inside our 50% range: 21.00.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.082 / inside our 50% range: 76
Tristan Xerri RK 17.3 / inside our 90% range: 11.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.04.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.096 / inside our 90% range: 61
Cameron Zurhaar FPL 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 17.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.05.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.01.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.078 / inside our 50% range: 71
Bailey Scott INT 16.2 / outside our 90% range: 6.00.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.02.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.066 / outside our 90% range: 14
Josh Goater INT 14.2 / inside our 90% range: 11.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.01.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.060 / inside our 90% range: 37
Charlie Spargo HFFL 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.00.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.6 / outside our 90% range: 8.02.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.069 / inside our 50% range: 61
Aidan Corr BPL 13.6 / inside our 90% range: 19.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.01.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.061 / inside our 50% range: 64
Charlie Comben FB 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.06.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.01.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.062 / inside our 50% range: 52
Paul Curtis FPR 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.04.0 / outside our 90% range: 8.03.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.072 / inside our 50% range: 81
Cooper Trembath CHF 11.7 / inside our 90% range: 19.01.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.04.0 / outside our 90% range: 10.02.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.070 / inside our 90% range: 91
Griffin Logue HBFL 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.01.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.057 / inside our 90% range: 42
Jack Darling INT 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 8.01.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.04.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.060 / inside our 50% range: 56
Nick Larkey FF 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.02.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.05.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.01.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.071 / inside our 90% range: 49
Zac Banch INT 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 8.00.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.050 / inside our 50% range: 39
Matt Whitlock WL 8.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.00.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.03.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.01.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.054 / inside our 90% range: 23

St Kilda

NO LINEUP
PLAYER POS DISPOSALSGOALSMARKSTACKLESFANTASY
Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera CHB 30.3 / outside our 90% range: 46.00.8 / outside our 90% range: 4.04.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.02.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0111 / outside our 90% range: 182
Bradley Hill HBFL 27.7 / inside our 90% range: 34.00.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.06.3 / outside our 90% range: 12.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0100 / inside our 90% range: 131
Hugo Garcia RR 26.9 / inside our 90% range: 18.00.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.04.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0101 / inside our 90% range: 67
Darcy Wilson WL 24.5 / inside our 50% range: 28.00.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.04.3 / outside our 90% range: 10.03.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.094 / inside our 90% range: 113
Marcus Windhager C 24.1 / inside our 50% range: 25.00.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.03.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.093 / inside our 90% range: 73
Callum Wilkie FB 23.0 / inside our 90% range: 15.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.08.0 / inside our 50% range: 9.01.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.092 / inside our 90% range: 61
Max Hall HFFR 21.9 / inside our 90% range: 26.01.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.04.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.04.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.094 / inside our 50% range: 79
Mattaes Phillipou INT 20.5 / inside our 90% range: 25.00.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.03.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.081 / inside our 50% range: 94
Rowan Marshall RK 19.8 / -1.0 / -4.0 / -2.8 / -102 / -
Mason Wood FPL 19.2 / inside our 50% range: 19.00.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.06.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.01.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.082 / inside our 50% range: 73
Hunter Clark INT 18.0 / inside our 90% range: 12.00.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.072 / inside our 90% range: 44
Ryan Byrnes HBFR 16.8 / inside our 50% range: 17.00.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.04.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.072 / inside our 50% range: 63
Jack Silvagni BPL 16.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.00.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.06.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.01.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.074 / inside our 50% range: 73
Liam Stocker BPR 15.9 / inside our 50% range: 18.00.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.04.7 / outside our 90% range: 9.01.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.069 / inside our 50% range: 78
Mitch Owens FPR 13.5 / inside our 50% range: 16.01.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.03.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.067 / inside our 50% range: 69
Hugh Boxshall R 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 17.00.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.03.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.03.6 / inside our 90% range: 6.064 / inside our 90% range: 83
Tobie Travaglia INT 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.00.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.02.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.051 / inside our 50% range: 40
Tom De Koning FF 12.8 / inside our 90% range: 19.01.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.03.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.069 / inside our 50% range: 83
Liam O'Connell WR 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.00.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.03.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.02.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.058 / inside our 90% range: 24
Jack Higgins HFFL 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.01.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.02.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.01.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.060 / inside our 50% range: 46
Dan Butler INT 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.00.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.02.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.02.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.048 / inside our 50% range: 37
Liam Ryan CHF 9.3 / inside our 50% range: 10.01.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.03.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.01.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.057 / inside our 90% range: 36
Max King INT 9.2 / outside our 90% range: 2.01.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.04.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.01.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.054 / outside our 90% range: 8