AFL · ROUND 21 · MCG
Collingwood v Geelong Cats
Thu 30 Jul 2026, 7:30pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
COL by 2
COL to win, 53% chance
COL 53%47% GEE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 25
MISS Actual margin 25 · 26.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | RR | 32.8 / inside our 50% range: 35.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 116 / inside our 50% range: 109 |
| Josh Daicos | CHB | 26.7 / inside our 90% range: 33.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 98 / inside our 90% range: 117 |
| Scott Pendlebury | INT | 24.3 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Jordan De Goey | R | 22.3 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 95 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Jack Crisp | WL | 21.1 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Dan Houston | HBFL | 21.0 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Patrick Lipinski | WR | 20.2 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Darcy Cameron | RK | 19.7 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 103 / inside our 90% range: 120 |
| Jeremy Howe | FB | 19.0 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Isaac Quaynor | HBFR | 18.9 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Edward Allan | C | 18.3 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Steele Sidebottom | INT | 18.0 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Harry Perryman | BPR | 17.6 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Ned Long | CHF | 16.2 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Lachie Schultz | HFFL | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Beau McCreery | HFFR | 13.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Tim Membrey | FPR | 12.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / outside our 90% range: 27 |
| Billy Frampton | BPL | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Angus Anderson | FPL | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Harvey Harrison | INT | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Daniel McStay | FF | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 67 / outside our 90% range: 118 |
| Liam Puncher | INT | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Charlie West | INT | 8.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 42 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Smith | C | 32.7 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 115 / outside our 90% range: 73 |
| Tanner Bruhn | HBFR | 23.0 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 91 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Lawson Humphries | INT | 22.5 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Tom Stewart | BPL | 22.2 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 86 / inside our 50% range: 93 |
| Tom Atkins | RR | 21.4 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Gryan Miers | HFFL | 20.7 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| James Worpel | INT | 20.0 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Oliver Dempsey | WL | 19.5 / outside our 90% range: 29.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.4 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 84 / outside our 90% range: 125 |
| Shaun Mannagh | FPL | 18.3 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Zach Guthrie | HBFL | 17.4 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Jhye Clark | INT | 16.4 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Connor O'Sullivan | FB | 16.3 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Oisin Mullin | R | 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Mark O'Connor | BPR | 14.6 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Mark Blicavs | WR | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Mitchell Edwards | RK | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Jack Henry | CHB | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Brad Close | HFFR | 11.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 60 / outside our 90% range: 15 |
| Oliver Henry | CHF | 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Oliver Wiltshire | INT | 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Jack Martin | INT | 10.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Shannon Neale | FF | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Jay Polkinghorne | FPR | 9.8 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 52 |