AFL · ROUND 21 · PEOPLE FIRST STADIUM
Gold Coast SUNS v Melbourne
Sun 2 Aug 2026, 3:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
MEL by 17
MEL to win, 74% chance
GCS 26%74% MEL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
MEL by 9
HIT Actual margin 9 · 7.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Anderson | C | 29.3 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 104 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Matt Rowell | RR | 27.3 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 99 / inside our 90% range: 125 |
| Touk Miller | R | 26.7 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 94 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| John Noble | HBFR | 26.4 / inside our 90% range: 34.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 98 / outside our 90% range: 152 |
| Bodhi Uwland | FB | 24.5 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Christian Petracca | FPL | 24.1 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Daniel Rioli | HBFL | 22.5 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Wil Powell | CHB | 20.4 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Mac Andrew | BPL | 19.0 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Beau Addinsall | WR | 17.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Joel Jeffrey | INT | 16.8 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Leonardo Lombard | HFFL | 15.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Jai Murray | WL | 15.6 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Sam Collins | BPR | 14.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 66 / outside our 90% range: 27 |
| Bailey Humphrey | CHF | 13.5 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Ben Long | INT | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Ned Moyle | RK | 11.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Charlie Ballard | INT | 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Jake Rogers | HFFR | 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Dylan Patterson | INT | 10.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Ethan Read | INT | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Jed Walter | FF | 8.7 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Ben King | FPR | 8.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Bowey | BPL | 26.1 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 97 / inside our 50% range: 111 |
| Tom Sparrow | R | 25.9 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 5.7 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 98 / inside our 90% range: 126 |
| Jack Steele | RR | 25.1 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 94 / outside our 90% range: 40 |
| Kysaiah Pickett | HFFL | 22.5 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Christian Salem | INT | 22.4 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Trent Rivers | HBFL | 22.1 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 112 |
| Max Gawn | RK | 20.8 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 103 / inside our 90% range: 132 |
| Ed Langdon | C | 20.4 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Joel Fitzgerald | INT | 19.9 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 68 / outside our 90% range: 106 |
| Harvey Langford | WR | 18.0 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Koltyn Tholstrup | BPR | 17.5 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Blake Howes | HBFR | 16.7 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 71 / outside our 90% range: 33 |
| Caleb Windsor | INT | 16.0 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Jake Lever | FB | 15.7 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Changkuoth Jiath | INT | 14.4 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Tom McDonald | INT | 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Harry Sharp | WL | 13.3 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Bailey Laurie | HFFR | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Bayley Fritsch | FPR | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Jacob van Rooyen | FF | 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Harrison Petty | CHB | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Paddy Cross | FPL | 10.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 23 |
| Matthew Jefferson | CHF | 8.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 30 |