AFL · ROUND 21 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Port Adelaide v GWS GIANTS
Sat 1 Aug 2026, 6:05pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GWS by 15
GWS to win, 72% chance
PA 28%72% GWS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GWS by 12
HIT Actual margin 12 · 3.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Horne-Francis | C | 25.2 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 104 / inside our 90% range: 123 |
| Ollie Wines | RR | 24.4 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 91 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Jase Burgoyne | WR | 23.2 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 97 / inside our 50% range: 104 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | HBFL | 22.9 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 102 |
| Willem Drew | R | 21.4 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Miles Bergman | BPR | 20.8 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 110 |
| Aliir Aliir | CHB | 17.0 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.0 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Christian Moraes | WL | 16.7 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 68 / outside our 90% range: 12 |
| Josh Lai | BPL | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Lachie Jones | HBFR | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Jack Watkins | INT | 15.9 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Will Lorenz | INT | 15.5 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 15.2 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Joe Berry | HFFR | 12.7 / outside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Mitch Georgiades | FPR | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Xavier Bamert | HFFL | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Balyn O'Brien | INT | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Corey Durdin | FPL | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Mitch Zadow | INT | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Harrison Ramm | FB | 9.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 21 |
| Todd Marshall | CHF | 9.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Jack Whitlock | FF | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 61 / outside our 90% range: 20 |
| Dante Visentini | INT | 8.1 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Oliver | C | 29.0 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 100 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Lachie Ash | HBFR | 28.9 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 102 / inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Lachie Whitfield | HBFL | 27.2 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 98 / inside our 90% range: 127 |
| Connor Idun | BPL | 22.5 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 89 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Ryan Angwin | WL | 19.4 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Xavier O'Halloran | INT | 18.9 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 18.8 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Harry Himmelberg | CHB | 18.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Joe Fonti | INT | 17.6 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Toby Bedford | HFFL | 15.9 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 89 |
| Harry Rowston | R | 15.8 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Stephen Coniglio | RR | 15.1 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 99 |
| Jayden Laverde | BPR | 14.6 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Kieren Briggs | INT | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Jack Ough | INT | 13.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 16 |
| Sam Taylor | FB | 13.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Nicholas Madden | RK | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Jake Stringer | FPL | 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 88 |
| Callum Brown | FPR | 11.3 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Aaron Cadman | FF | 10.2 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Riley Hamilton | INT | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Josaia Delana | HFFR | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Max Gruzewski | CHF | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 48 |