AFL · ROUND 21 · MARVEL STADIUM
St Kilda v Sydney Swans
Sat 1 Aug 2026, 1:05pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
SYD by 11
SYD to win, 67% chance
STK 33%67% SYD
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SYD by 19
HIT Actual margin 19 · 7.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
St Kilda
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera | CHB | 29.9 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 108 / inside our 50% range: 99 |
| Bradley Hill | HBFL | 27.1 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 107 / inside our 50% range: 105 |
| Hugo Garcia | RR | 26.1 / outside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 100 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Marcus Windhager | C | 23.9 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 93 / inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Darcy Wilson | WL | 23.5 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 97 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Max Hall | HFFR | 21.9 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.8 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 109 |
| Callum Wilkie | FB | 21.6 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.9 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 100 |
| Mattaes Phillipou | INT | 21.0 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Rowan Marshall | RK | 19.5 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 104 / inside our 90% range: 81 |
| Mason Wood | FPL | 18.5 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 96 |
| Ryan Byrnes | HBFR | 16.6 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Hunter Clark | INT | 16.2 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Liam Stocker | BPR | 16.1 / outside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 102 |
| Jack Silvagni | BPL | 15.5 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Hugh Boxshall | R | 14.7 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Tom De Koning | FF | 14.4 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Mitch Owens | FPR | 13.2 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Campbell Lake | INT | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Tobie Travaglia | INT | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Liam O'Connell | WR | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Jack Higgins | HFFL | 9.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Liam Ryan | CHF | 9.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Anthony Caminiti | INT | 8.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Errol Gulden | C | 28.8 / inside our 90% range: 34.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 112 / inside our 50% range: 104 |
| Isaac Heeney | RR | 26.5 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 98 / inside our 50% range: 104 |
| Callum Mills | BPL | 25.6 / outside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 93 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Nick Blakey | CHB | 24.5 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 91 / inside our 90% range: 116 |
| Chad Warner | R | 24.3 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 96 / inside our 50% range: 101 |
| Riley Bice | HBFR | 20.1 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Brodie Grundy | RK | 19.4 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 96 / inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Tom McCartin | BPR | 18.6 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Matt Roberts | WL | 17.4 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| James Rowbottom | INT | 16.9 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 76 / outside our 90% range: 3 |
| Jai Serong | WR | 16.4 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Jake Lloyd | CHF | 15.7 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Tom Papley | FPL | 14.6 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| James Jordon | HFFL | 14.1 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Dane Rampe | HBFL | 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Braeden Campbell | HFFR | 13.7 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Harry Kyle | INT | 11.5 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| William Edwards | FB | 11.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Logan McDonald | FPR | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Malcolm Rosas | INT | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Billy Cootee | INT | 9.3 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Hayden McLean | INT | 8.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 26 |