AFL · ROUND 22 · ADELAIDE OVAL
Adelaide Crows v Richmond
Sat 8 Aug 2026, 7:05pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
ADE by 43
ADE to win, 94% chance
ADE 94%6% RIC
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
ADE by 9
HIT Actual margin 9 · 34.3 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Dawson | C | 26.9 / inside our 90% range: 35.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 109 / inside our 90% range: 128 |
| Izak Rankine | RR | 25.6 / outside our 90% range: 36.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 107 / inside our 90% range: 138 |
| Sam Berry | R | 25.6 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 6.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 101 / inside our 50% range: 98 |
| Rory Laird | BPL | 24.1 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| James Peatling | WL | 22.9 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Josh Worrell | FB | 21.7 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Daniel Curtin | INT | 19.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Hugo Hall-Kahan | FPL | 19.5 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Alex Neal-Bullen | HFFL | 18.4 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Mark Keane | CHB | 18.3 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Brayden Cook | WR | 18.2 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Isaac Cumming | HBFL | 17.1 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Max Michalanney | BPR | 17.0 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Billy Dowling | INT | 16.5 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Oscar Ryan | INT | 16.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Josh Rachele | HFFR | 15.8 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 79 / outside our 90% range: 30 |
| Ben Keays | FPR | 15.5 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Callum Ah Chee | HBFR | 14.7 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Zac Taylor | INT | 14.5 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Riley Thilthorpe | CHF | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 81 / outside our 90% range: 35 |
| Reilly O'Brien | RK | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Taylor Walker | FF | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Archie Ludowyke | INT | 8.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 17 |
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Taranto | C | 26.5 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 102 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Jack Ross | RR | 24.6 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Jayden Short | INT | 23.5 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Dion Prestia | CHF | 20.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Sam Banks | CHB | 20.8 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 82 / outside our 90% range: 36 |
| Tom Brown | HBFR | 19.5 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Nick Vlastuin | HBFL | 19.3 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Patrick Retschko | WL | 18.9 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Tyler Sonsie | WR | 18.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 77 / outside our 90% range: 24 |
| Toby Nankervis | RK | 18.2 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 86 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Sam Lalor | R | 16.2 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 70 / outside our 90% range: 17 |
| Seth Campbell | HFFL | 16.1 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Ben Miller | FB | 15.5 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Nathan Broad | BPL | 14.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Hugo Ralphsmith | HFFR | 14.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Kye Annand | BPR | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Sam Grlj | INT | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Taj Hotton | FF | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Steely Green | INT | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Tom Lynch | FPL | 10.4 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Judson Clarke | INT | 10.0 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Mykelti Lefau | FPR | 8.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Samson Ryan | INT | 7.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 33 |