AFL · ROUND 22 · GABBA
Brisbane Lions v Hawthorn
Fri 7 Aug 2026, 7:40pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
BRI by 0
BRI to win, 50% chance
BRI 50%50% HAW
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
BRI by 67
HIT Actual margin 67 · 66.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ashcroft | C | 28.2 / outside our 90% range: 39.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 102 / inside our 90% range: 122 |
| Lachie Neale | INT | 28.1 / inside our 90% range: 35.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 90 / outside our 90% range: 147 |
| Dayne Zorko | HBFR | 25.4 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 100 / inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Josh Dunkley | RR | 22.4 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 6.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 97 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Darcy Wilmot | HBFL | 22.0 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Zac Bailey | WR | 22.0 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Jaspa Fletcher | INT | 21.1 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Levi Ashcroft | R | 18.8 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 98 |
| Jarrod Berry | WL | 18.0 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 98 |
| Cam Rayner | FF | 17.1 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Harris Andrews | FB | 15.6 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.9 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Ryan Lester | BPR | 15.3 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Noah Answerth | BPL | 14.1 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Conor McKenna | FPL | 13.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Darcy Gardiner | CHB | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / outside our 90% range: 12 |
| Kai Lohmann | FPR | 11.8 / outside our 90% range: 24.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 66 / outside our 90% range: 117 |
| Daniel Annable | INT | 11.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 45 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Sam Draper | RK | 11.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Darcy Fort | INT | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Charlie Cameron | HFFL | 10.5 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Eric Hipwood | INT | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Logan Morris | CHF | 10.0 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 65 / outside our 90% range: 101 |
| Oscar Allen | HFFR | 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
Hawthorn
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jai Newcombe | RR | 25.0 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 96 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Jarman Impey | HBFL | 24.5 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.9 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 95 / outside our 90% range: 53 |
| Josh Ward | R | 22.6 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Connor Macdonald | INT | 21.0 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 86 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Josh Battle | HBFR | 20.6 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Karl Amon | CHB | 20.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Will Day | C | 20.2 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Cam Mackenzie | INT | 20.0 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| James Sicily | BPL | 19.9 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Blake Hardwick | BPR | 19.5 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Massimo D'Ambrosio | WR | 19.4 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 81 / inside our 90% range: 99 |
| Jack Ginnivan | HFFR | 17.2 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Harry Morrison | WL | 16.5 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Dylan Moore | HFFL | 15.3 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Josh Weddle | INT | 14.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Lloyd Meek | RK | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Nick Watson | FPL | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Mabior Chol | CHF | 10.5 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 67 / outside our 90% range: 17 |
| Sam Butler | INT | 10.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Jack Gunston | FPR | 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Mitch Lewis | FF | 9.7 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Tom Barrass | FB | 8.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 14 |
| Ned Reeves | INT | 6.7 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 39 |