AFL · ROUND 22 · GMHBA STADIUM
Geelong Cats v Essendon
Sat 8 Aug 2026, 4:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GEE by 58
GEE to win, 97% chance
GEE 97%3% ESS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 67
HIT Actual margin 67 · 9.3 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Smith | C | 33.7 / inside our 50% range: 38.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 121 / inside our 50% range: 132 |
| Tanner Bruhn | HBFR | 26.5 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 98 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Tom Stewart | BPL | 25.2 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 95 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| James Worpel | INT | 23.9 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Oliver Dempsey | WL | 23.9 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 98 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Lawson Humphries | INT | 23.6 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Tom Atkins | RR | 23.6 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 91 / outside our 90% range: 46 |
| Gryan Miers | HFFL | 22.1 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 91 / outside our 90% range: 33 |
| Shaun Mannagh | FPL | 20.0 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Zach Guthrie | HBFL | 19.5 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 78 / outside our 90% range: 33 |
| Connor O'Sullivan | FB | 19.0 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Mark O'Connor | WR | 18.8 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Oisin Mullin | R | 18.8 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Jhye Clark | BPR | 18.7 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 95 |
| Sam De Koning | RK | 18.5 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Mark Blicavs | INT | 15.2 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Jack Henry | CHB | 14.1 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Oliver Wiltshire | INT | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Oliver Henry | CHF | 13.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 88 |
| Jack Martin | INT | 13.4 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Shannon Neale | FF | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Brad Close | HFFR | 13.3 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Jay Polkinghorne | FPR | 11.7 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 56 / outside our 90% range: 19 |
Essendon
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Merrett | RR | 30.4 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 108 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Archie Roberts | CHB | 29.2 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 97 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Will Setterfield | INT | 25.1 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 87 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Sam Durham | C | 24.8 / outside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 93 / outside our 90% range: 51 |
| Mason Redman | HBFR | 22.9 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 84 / outside our 90% range: 37 |
| Andrew McGrath | BPL | 22.5 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Dyson Sharp | R | 21.1 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 102 |
| Jacob Farrow | INT | 20.3 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Zak Johnson | BPR | 19.6 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / outside our 90% range: 25 |
| Jye Caldwell | HFFL | 18.9 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Jaxon Prior | HBFL | 18.8 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Kyle Langford | FPR | 17.4 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Jaxon Artemis | WR | 16.1 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Zach Reid | FB | 16.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Archie Perkins | INT | 15.7 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Peter Wright | FF | 14.2 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Max Kondogiannis | WL | 12.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Archer Day-Wicks | HFFR | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Isaac Kako | FPL | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Hussien El Achkar | INT | 11.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Vigo Visentini | RK | 10.8 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / outside our 90% range: 100 |
| Nate Caddy | CHF | 10.5 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Rhys Unwin | INT | 10.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 13 |