AFL · ROUND 22 · MARVEL STADIUM
St Kilda v Carlton
Sun 9 Aug 2026, 7:20pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
CAR by 6
CAR to win, 58% chance
STK 42%58% CAR
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
CAR by 44
HIT Actual margin 44 · 38.5 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
St Kilda
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera | HFFR | 28.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 108 / outside our 90% range: 11 |
| Bradley Hill | HBFL | 26.9 / inside our 50% range: 31.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 109 / inside our 90% range: 92 |
| Hugo Garcia | RR | 25.4 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 92 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Max Hall | C | 22.7 / inside our 90% range: 30.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 96 / inside our 90% range: 115 |
| Darcy Wilson | WL | 22.6 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Callum Wilkie | FB | 22.3 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 8.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 89 / outside our 90% range: 38 |
| Marcus Windhager | INT | 21.9 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Mattaes Phillipou | INT | 20.7 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Mason Wood | INT | 18.8 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Rowan Marshall | FF | 18.8 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Ryan Byrnes | INT | 17.3 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Liam Stocker | HBFR | 17.2 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Hunter Clark | CHB | 16.7 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Hugh Boxshall | WR | 15.1 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Jack Silvagni | BPL | 14.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / outside our 90% range: 19 |
| Tom De Koning | RK | 14.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Mitch Owens | R | 14.1 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Liam O'Connell | BPR | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Campbell Lake | CHF | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 23 |
| Cooper Sharman | FPL | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Jack Higgins | HFFL | 10.0 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Liam Ryan | INT | 9.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Anthony Caminiti | FPR | 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
Carlton
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Walsh | R | 29.0 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 103 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Jagga Smith | RR | 27.9 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 94 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Patrick Cripps | C | 25.9 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 96 |
| George Hewett | INT | 24.6 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Oliver Florent | HBFR | 23.7 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 89 / inside our 90% range: 109 |
| Adam Cerra | WR | 21.4 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Billy Wilson | INT | 20.9 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Cooper Lord | FPL | 20.7 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Blake Acres | WL | 20.4 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 93 |
| Nick Haynes | FB | 17.6 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / outside our 90% range: 13.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 92 |
| Ben Ainsworth | FPR | 17.3 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Lachlan Cowan | HBFL | 16.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Will Hayward | INT | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.8 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Matthew Cottrell | INT | 14.1 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Harry McKay | CHF | 14.0 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Wade Derksen | BPR | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Francis Evans | HFFR | 13.7 / outside our 90% range: 22.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 67 / outside our 90% range: 110 |
| Harry Dean | BPL | 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Marc Pittonet | RK | 12.3 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.4 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 98 |
| Mitch McGovern | CHB | 11.6 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Brodie Kemp | FF | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Lewis Young | INT | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Talor Byrne | HFFL | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 65 |