AFL · ROUND 22 · SCG
Sydney Swans v Port Adelaide
Sat 8 Aug 2026, 4:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
SYD by 39
SYD to win, 92% chance
SYD 92%8% PA
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SYD by 97
HIT Actual margin 97 · 58.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Errol Gulden | C | 32.3 / inside our 90% range: 39.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 119 / inside our 50% range: 135 |
| Callum Mills | BPL | 27.8 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 98 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Isaac Heeney | RR | 27.6 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 105 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Chad Warner | R | 27.2 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 105 / inside our 50% range: 110 |
| Nick Blakey | HBFL | 27.1 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 103 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Riley Bice | CHB | 22.2 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Tom McCartin | FB | 21.3 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Matt Roberts | WL | 20.9 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Sam Wicks | HBFR | 20.8 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Jai Serong | WR | 19.1 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 75 / outside our 90% range: 119 |
| Jake Lloyd | HFFL | 18.0 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.8 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 98 |
| James Jordon | INT | 17.4 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Braeden Campbell | HFFR | 16.7 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Tom Papley | FPL | 16.0 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Lewis Melican | BPR | 14.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Harry Kyle | INT | 13.1 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 13.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Logan McDonald | CHF | 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Billy Cootee | FPR | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Jesse Dattoli | INT | 11.4 / outside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 48 / outside our 90% range: 97 |
| Hayden McLean | INT | 10.0 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Joel Hamling | INT | 9.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| William Green | RK | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Horne-Francis | C | 25.4 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 106 / inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | HBFL | 24.9 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 96 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Ollie Wines | RR | 24.7 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Jase Burgoyne | WR | 23.8 / outside our 90% range: 34.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 95 / outside our 90% range: 140 |
| Willem Drew | R | 20.6 / outside our 90% range: 31.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 111 |
| Miles Bergman | BPR | 20.4 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 86 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Will Lorenz | INT | 20.1 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Aliir Aliir | CHB | 18.8 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.7 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Joe Berry | HFFR | 15.8 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Christian Moraes | WL | 15.6 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Josh Lai | BPL | 15.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 14.5 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 87 / outside our 90% range: 48 |
| Jacob Wehr | HBFR | 14.4 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Tom Anastasopoulos | INT | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Corey Durdin | FPL | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Xavier Bamert | HFFL | 11.8 / - | 0.6 / - | 3.1 / - | 2.1 / - | 61 / - |
| Balyn O'Brien | INT | 11.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 21 |
| Mitch Zadow | INT | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Alex Van Wyk | FPR | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Todd Marshall | CHF | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Harrison Ramm | FB | 9.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Dante Visentini | INT | 9.7 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Jack Whitlock | FF | 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 65 |