AFL · ROUND 22 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Collingwood
Sun 9 Aug 2026, 2:10pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
COL by 19
COL to win, 76% chance
WCE 24%76% COL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
COL by 19
HIT Actual margin 19 · 0.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Kelly | R | 97 | 81 to 112 | 57 to 136 | 88% | 77% | 63% | 46% | 30% | inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Tom McCarthy | INT | 97 | 81 to 112 | 57 to 136 | 88% | 77% | 63% | 46% | 31% | inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Marcus Herbert | HBFR | 95 | 79 to 111 | 56 to 135 | 88% | 76% | 61% | 43% | 29% | inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 94 | 78 to 110 | 54 to 133 | 86% | 74% | 58% | 40% | 26% | inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 92 | 77 to 108 | 53 to 132 | 85% | 73% | 57% | 37% | 24% | inside our 50% range: 105 |
| Jack Graham | HFFR | 85 | 70 to 101 | 47 to 124 | 79% | 64% | 42% | 27% | 14% | inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Liam Duggan | WL | 85 | 70 to 100 | 47 to 124 | 79% | 63% | 41% | 26% | 14% | inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 83 | 68 to 98 | 45 to 121 | 77% | 59% | 39% | 22% | 12% | inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 81 | 66 to 96 | 43 to 119 | 71% | 54% | 36% | 22% | 11% | inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Liam Baker | HBFL | 80 | 65 to 96 | 42 to 118 | 71% | 53% | 36% | 21% | 10% | inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | 79 | 64 to 94 | 42 to 117 | 70% | 51% | 34% | 20% | 9% | inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Willem Duursma | HFFL | 73 | 58 to 88 | 36 to 110 | 55% | 38% | 22% | 13% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 70 | 55 to 84 | 33 to 106 | 48% | 30% | 18% | 9% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Brandon Starcevich | BPL | 67 | 52 to 82 | 30 to 103 | 45% | 29% | 16% | 7% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Bo Allan | WR | 66 | 52 to 81 | 30 to 103 | 44% | 27% | 14% | 6% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Milan Murdock | FPL | 66 | 51 to 80 | 29 to 102 | 43% | 27% | 13% | 6% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 65 | 51 to 80 | 29 to 102 | 41% | 26% | 13% | 5% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 64 | 50 to 79 | 28 to 101 | 36% | 23% | 12% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 61 | 46 to 75 | 25 to 97 | 30% | 18% | 10% | 4% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Rhett Bazzo | FB | 56 | 42 to 70 | 21 to 91 | 25% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | FPR | 53 | 39 to 67 | 18 to 87 | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Jack Williams | INT | 51 | 37 to 65 | 16 to 86 | 17% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Tom Gross | INT | 50 | 36 to 63 | 15 to 84 | 17% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 72 |
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | R | 114 | 97 to 130 | 72 to 155 | 96% | 91% | 83% | 68% | 58% | inside our 50% range: 111 |
| Darcy Cameron | RK | 106 | 90 to 122 | 65 to 146 | 93% | 86% | 72% | 59% | 45% | inside our 50% range: 122 |
| Josh Daicos | CHB | 103 | 87 to 119 | 63 to 143 | 91% | 83% | 68% | 57% | 39% | inside our 90% range: 124 |
| Dan Houston | HBFR | 91 | 75 to 106 | 52 to 130 | 85% | 72% | 54% | 37% | 21% | inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Jack Crisp | WR | 90 | 74 to 106 | 51 to 129 | 85% | 71% | 52% | 35% | 20% | inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Isaac Quaynor | HBFL | 82 | 66 to 97 | 44 to 120 | 75% | 56% | 36% | 21% | 11% | inside our 90% range: 47 |
| Edward Allan | RR | 80 | 65 to 95 | 42 to 118 | 70% | 53% | 35% | 21% | 10% | inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Ned Long | C | 80 | 64 to 95 | 42 to 118 | 70% | 52% | 34% | 20% | 10% | inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Steele Sidebottom | WL | 77 | 62 to 92 | 40 to 115 | 61% | 44% | 29% | 16% | 8% | outside our 90% range: 38 |
| Daniel McStay | CHF | 75 | 60 to 90 | 37 to 112 | 56% | 40% | 26% | 12% | 6% | outside our 90% range: 115 |
| Lachie Schultz | HFFL | 72 | 57 to 87 | 35 to 109 | 54% | 37% | 21% | 13% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Beau McCreery | HFFR | 69 | 54 to 84 | 32 to 106 | 48% | 29% | 18% | 9% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Tim Membrey | FPR | 69 | 54 to 83 | 32 to 105 | 47% | 29% | 18% | 8% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 104 |
| Roan Steele | INT | 60 | 46 to 74 | 24 to 95 | 27% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Billy Frampton | BPL | 59 | 44 to 73 | 23 to 94 | 25% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Sam Swadling | INT | 58 | 44 to 72 | 22 to 93 | 28% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Angus Anderson | FF | 57 | 43 to 72 | 22 to 93 | 27% | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Harvey Harrison | INT | 56 | 42 to 70 | 21 to 91 | 25% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Lachlan Sullivan | INT | 52 | 38 to 66 | 17 to 87 | 19% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Charlie West | FPL | 50 | 36 to 64 | 15 to 84 | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 18 |
| Liam Puncher | BPR | 48 | 34 to 62 | 14 to 82 | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Noah Howes | FB | 45 | 32 to 59 | 12 to 79 | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 18 |
| William Hayes | INT | 45 | 31 to 58 | 11 to 78 | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 36 |