AFL · ROUND 23 · GABBA
Brisbane Lions v Gold Coast SUNS
Sat 15 Aug 2026, 4:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
BRI by 36
BRI to win, 90% chance
BRI 90%10% GCS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
BRI by 42
HIT Actual margin 42 · 5.9 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachie Neale | R | 30.7 / outside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 105 / outside our 90% range: 51 |
| Will Ashcroft | INT | 30.2 / inside our 50% range: 31.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 105 / inside our 50% range: 114 |
| Dayne Zorko | HBFR | 27.6 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 105 / inside our 50% range: 113 |
| Josh Dunkley | RR | 24.1 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 6.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 101 / inside our 50% range: 102 |
| Darcy Wilmot | HBFL | 23.2 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Zac Bailey | WR | 23.2 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 104 |
| Levi Ashcroft | C | 21.7 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 117 |
| Jaspa Fletcher | INT | 21.6 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Jarrod Berry | WL | 20.0 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 103 |
| Cam Rayner | FF | 18.1 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Harris Andrews | FB | 16.3 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 7.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Ryan Lester | BPR | 16.2 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Noah Answerth | BPL | 15.8 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Kai Lohmann | FPR | 15.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 75 / outside our 90% range: 35 |
| Conor McKenna | HFFR | 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Darcy Gardiner | CHB | 12.6 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Charlie Cameron | HFFL | 12.3 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 87 |
| Darcy Fort | INT | 12.3 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Sam Draper | RK | 12.3 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Daniel Annable | INT | 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Logan Morris | CHF | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Eric Hipwood | FPL | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Oscar Allen | INT | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Anderson | C | 28.7 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 104 / inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Matt Rowell | RR | 28.1 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 6.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 105 / inside our 90% range: 85 |
| John Noble | HBFR | 26.2 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 100 / inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Touk Miller | R | 25.5 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 93 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Bodhi Uwland | BPR | 22.9 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Christian Petracca | HFFL | 21.7 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Daniel Rioli | HBFL | 20.8 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Wil Powell | CHB | 20.1 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 64 |
| Sam Clohesy | WL | 18.4 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Mac Andrew | BPL | 17.3 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 77 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Beau Addinsall | INT | 17.0 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Leonardo Lombard | FPL | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Joel Jeffrey | INT | 16.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Sam Collins | FB | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Bailey Humphrey | CHF | 13.6 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Ben Long | WR | 11.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Ned Moyle | RK | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Lachlan Gulbin | INT | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Charlie Ballard | INT | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Jake Rogers | INT | 9.9 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Ethan Read | HFFR | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Jed Walter | FF | 8.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Ben King | FPR | 8.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 35 |