AFL · ROUND 23 · OPTUS STADIUM
Fremantle v Adelaide Crows
Fri 14 Aug 2026, 6:10pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
FRE by 15
FRE to win, 72% chance
FRE 72%28% ADE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
FRE by 24
HIT Actual margin 24 · 9.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Brayshaw | C | 26.1 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Caleb Serong | RR | 24.9 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 94 / inside our 90% range: 112 |
| Jordan Clark | HBFL | 22.8 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Luke Ryan | CHB | 21.5 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Shai Bolton | HFFL | 21.3 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 97 |
| Matthew Johnson | WL | 20.6 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Karl Worner | HBFR | 20.2 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Hayden Young | R | 19.4 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Luke Jackson | RK | 19.0 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.5 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 98 / inside our 90% range: 122 |
| Neil Erasmus | INT | 16.6 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Nathan O'Driscoll | INT | 16.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Heath Chapman | BPR | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Michael Frederick | WR | 13.0 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Sam Switkowski | HFFR | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Brennan Cox | BPL | 12.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 50 / inside our 90% range: 28 |
| Oscar McDonald | INT | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Josh Treacy | FPR | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.6 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Isaiah Dudley | CHF | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Patrick Voss | FPL | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Alex Pearce | FB | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 40 / inside our 90% range: 9 |
| Christopher Scerri | INT | 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 38 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Jye Amiss | FF | 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Mason Cox | INT | 7.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 40 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Dawson | C | 27.3 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 107 / inside our 50% range: 111 |
| Izak Rankine | RR | 24.9 / outside our 90% range: 39.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 99 / outside our 90% range: 164 |
| Sam Berry | INT | 22.6 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 85 / outside our 90% range: 41 |
| Rory Laird | INT | 21.0 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| James Peatling | WL | 20.3 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 78 / outside our 90% range: 34 |
| Josh Worrell | FB | 20.0 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Jake Soligo | R | 19.1 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Hugo Hall-Kahan | FPL | 16.9 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Brayden Cook | HBFR | 16.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Daniel Curtin | FPR | 15.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Isaac Cumming | HBFL | 15.2 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Luke Nankervis | HFFL | 15.0 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Mark Keane | CHB | 14.7 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Max Michalanney | BPR | 14.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Callum Ah Chee | WR | 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Ben Keays | INT | 12.6 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Josh Rachele | HFFR | 12.5 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Riley Thilthorpe | CHF | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Darcy Fogarty | FF | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Lachlan McAndrew | RK | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Zac Taylor | INT | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.4 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| James Borlase | BPL | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 41 |
| Toby Murray | INT | 6.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 41 / inside our 90% range: 16 |