AFL · ROUND 23 · ENGIE STADIUM
GWS GIANTS v West Coast Eagles
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 1:40pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GWS by 32
GWS to win, 88% chance
GWS 88%12% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GWS by 54
HIT Actual margin 54 · 22.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Disposals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clayton Oliver | C | 29.4 | 25.1 to 33.6 | 18.5 to 40.2 | 97% | 91% | 76% | 46% | 18% | inside our 50% range: 29.0 |
| Lachie Ash | HBFR | 28.4 | 24.2 to 32.6 | 17.7 to 39.1 | 96% | 89% | 72% | 39% | 14% | inside our 90% range: 36.0 |
| Lachie Whitfield | HBFL | 28.3 | 24.2 to 32.5 | 17.7 to 39.0 | 96% | 89% | 72% | 38% | 14% | inside our 90% range: 33.0 |
| Connor Idun | BPR | 22.1 | 18.3 to 25.8 | 12.5 to 31.7 | 91% | 68% | 33% | 9% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 24.0 |
| Toby Greene | RR | 21.7 | 18.0 to 25.4 | 12.2 to 31.2 | 89% | 65% | 29% | 8% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 16.0 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 20.5 | 16.9 to 24.1 | 11.2 to 29.8 | 85% | 57% | 22% | 5% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 20.0 |
| Harry Rowston | R | 19.2 | 15.7 to 22.8 | 10.2 to 28.3 | 82% | 48% | 14% | 3% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 15.0 |
| Ryan Angwin | WL | 18.7 | 15.2 to 22.2 | 9.8 to 27.7 | 75% | 37% | 11% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 13.0 |
| Stephen Coniglio | HFFL | 18.7 | 15.2 to 22.2 | 9.7 to 27.6 | 75% | 37% | 11% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 22.0 |
| Joe Fonti | BPL | 18.4 | 14.9 to 21.8 | 9.5 to 27.3 | 74% | 34% | 10% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 17.0 |
| Harry Himmelberg | CHB | 17.8 | 14.3 to 21.2 | 9.0 to 26.5 | 72% | 34% | 10% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 19.0 |
| Toby Bedford | HFFR | 16.2 | 12.9 to 19.5 | 7.7 to 24.6 | 61% | 24% | 5% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Nicholas Madden | RK | 13.9 | 10.8 to 17.0 | 6.0 to 21.9 | 39% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 10.0 |
| Kieren Briggs | INT | 13.4 | 10.3 to 16.4 | 5.6 to 21.2 | 36% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 10.0 |
| Sam Taylor | FB | 13.3 | 10.3 to 16.3 | 5.5 to 21.1 | 36% | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Jake Stringer | FPL | 12.7 | 9.7 to 15.7 | 5.0 to 20.3 | 29% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Josaia Delana | INT | 12.7 | 9.7 to 15.7 | 5.0 to 20.4 | 29% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 13.0 |
| Toby McMullin | INT | 12.4 | 9.4 to 15.3 | 4.8 to 20.0 | 26% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 14.0 |
| Callum Brown | FPR | 11.8 | 8.9 to 14.7 | 4.4 to 19.2 | 22% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Aaron Cadman | FF | 11.5 | 8.6 to 14.4 | 4.2 to 18.9 | 23% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 11.0 |
| Cody Angove | INT | 10.7 | 7.9 to 13.5 | 3.6 to 17.9 | 15% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 11.0 |
| Max Gruzewski | CHF | 10.2 | 7.4 to 12.9 | 3.2 to 17.2 | 12% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 12.0 |
| Riley Hamilton | INT | 9.7 | 7.0 to 12.4 | 2.8 to 16.6 | 8% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 15+ | 20+ | 25+ | 30+ | 35+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harley Reid | RR | 26.4 | 22.4 to 30.5 | 16.1 to 36.8 | 95% | 85% | 60% | 24% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 25.0 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 24.8 | 20.8 to 28.7 | 14.7 to 34.9 | 97% | 85% | 55% | 22% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 28.0 |
| Tom McCarthy | INT | 24.2 | 20.3 to 28.1 | 14.2 to 34.2 | 97% | 83% | 53% | 20% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 22.0 |
| Marcus Herbert | HBFR | 23.8 | 19.9 to 27.6 | 13.8 to 33.7 | 96% | 81% | 49% | 17% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 14.0 |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | 20.0 | 16.4 to 23.6 | 10.8 to 29.2 | 84% | 53% | 17% | 3% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 12.0 |
| Liam Duggan | WR | 19.6 | 16.0 to 23.1 | 10.4 to 28.7 | 83% | 50% | 15% | 3% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 13.0 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 19.4 | 15.8 to 22.9 | 10.3 to 28.5 | 82% | 49% | 15% | 3% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 18.0 |
| Liam Baker | HBFL | 18.5 | 15.0 to 22.0 | 9.6 to 27.5 | 74% | 35% | 10% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 12.0 |
| Willem Duursma | WL | 18.3 | 14.8 to 21.7 | 9.4 to 27.1 | 73% | 33% | 10% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Jack Graham | HFFR | 18.1 | 14.6 to 21.5 | 9.2 to 26.9 | 72% | 30% | 9% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 26.0 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 16.8 | 13.4 to 20.1 | 8.2 to 25.3 | 66% | 26% | 6% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 14.8 | 11.6 to 18.0 | 6.6 to 22.9 | 49% | 17% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 11.0 |
| Brandon Starcevich | BPL | 14.3 | 11.2 to 17.5 | 6.3 to 22.4 | 46% | 14% | 3% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 13.0 |
| Milan Murdock | FPL | 13.8 | 10.7 to 16.9 | 5.9 to 21.7 | 38% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 13.0 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 13.8 | 10.7 to 16.9 | 5.9 to 21.7 | 38% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 18.0 |
| Hamish Davis | INT | 13.7 | 10.6 to 16.7 | 5.8 to 21.6 | 37% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 12.7 | 9.8 to 15.7 | 5.1 to 20.4 | 30% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 15.0 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 12.1 | 9.1 to 15.0 | 4.6 to 19.5 | 26% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 13.0 |
| Rhett Bazzo | FB | 11.7 | 8.8 to 14.6 | 4.3 to 19.2 | 22% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 13.0 |
| Tom Gross | HFFL | 11.3 | 8.5 to 14.2 | 4.0 to 18.7 | 21% | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 9.0 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 9.2 | 6.6 to 11.8 | 2.5 to 16.0 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | FPR | 8.8 | 6.2 to 11.4 | 2.2 to 15.4 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 8.0 |
| Jack Williams | INT | 8.5 | 5.9 to 11.0 | 1.9 to 15.0 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 10.0 |