AFL · ROUND 23 · ENGIE STADIUM
GWS GIANTS v West Coast Eagles
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 1:40pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GWS by 32
GWS to win, 88% chance
GWS 88%12% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GWS by 54
HIT Actual margin 54 · 22.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Fantasy: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lachie Whitfield | HBFL | 103 | 87 to 120 | 63 to 144 | 91% | 83% | 69% | 58% | 40% | inside our 50% range: 112 |
| Lachie Ash | HBFR | 100 | 84 to 116 | 60 to 140 | 89% | 79% | 65% | 51% | 35% | inside our 90% range: 136 |
| Clayton Oliver | C | 99 | 83 to 115 | 59 to 139 | 88% | 77% | 63% | 49% | 32% | inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Toby Greene | RR | 91 | 76 to 107 | 52 to 130 | 85% | 74% | 56% | 38% | 21% | inside our 50% range: 106 |
| Connor Idun | BPR | 86 | 70 to 101 | 47 to 124 | 80% | 65% | 43% | 28% | 14% | inside our 90% range: 107 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 80 | 64 to 95 | 42 to 118 | 70% | 52% | 34% | 20% | 10% | inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Harry Rowston | R | 77 | 62 to 92 | 39 to 114 | 61% | 43% | 29% | 15% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Stephen Coniglio | HFFL | 75 | 60 to 90 | 38 to 112 | 56% | 41% | 26% | 12% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Ryan Angwin | WL | 75 | 60 to 90 | 38 to 112 | 56% | 41% | 26% | 12% | 6% | inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Joe Fonti | BPL | 75 | 60 to 90 | 37 to 112 | 56% | 40% | 26% | 12% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Jake Stringer | FPL | 73 | 58 to 88 | 36 to 110 | 56% | 38% | 23% | 14% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Harry Himmelberg | CHB | 72 | 57 to 87 | 35 to 109 | 54% | 37% | 21% | 13% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Toby Bedford | HFFR | 70 | 55 to 85 | 33 to 107 | 50% | 31% | 19% | 9% | 4% | - |
| Kieren Briggs | INT | 70 | 55 to 85 | 33 to 107 | 50% | 31% | 19% | 9% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Nicholas Madden | RK | 69 | 54 to 83 | 32 to 105 | 47% | 29% | 18% | 8% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Callum Brown | FPR | 65 | 50 to 79 | 29 to 101 | 36% | 24% | 12% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Aaron Cadman | FF | 64 | 50 to 79 | 28 to 100 | 36% | 23% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Josaia Delana | INT | 60 | 45 to 74 | 24 to 95 | 26% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Sam Taylor | FB | 59 | 44 to 73 | 23 to 94 | 25% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Max Gruzewski | CHF | 58 | 43 to 72 | 22 to 93 | 28% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Toby McMullin | INT | 52 | 38 to 66 | 18 to 87 | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Cody Angove | INT | 47 | 33 to 60 | 13 to 81 | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Riley Hamilton | INT | 46 | 33 to 60 | 12 to 80 | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 37 |
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 70+ | 80+ | 90+ | 100+ | 110+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom McCarthy | INT | 93 | 77 to 109 | 54 to 132 | 86% | 73% | 58% | 39% | 26% | inside our 50% range: 101 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 92 | 76 to 108 | 53 to 131 | 85% | 72% | 56% | 37% | 24% | inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Marcus Herbert | HBFR | 92 | 76 to 108 | 53 to 131 | 84% | 72% | 56% | 37% | 24% | inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 91 | 75 to 106 | 52 to 130 | 85% | 72% | 54% | 37% | 21% | inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 90 | 74 to 106 | 51 to 129 | 85% | 71% | 52% | 35% | 20% | inside our 50% range: 98 |
| Liam Duggan | WR | 83 | 68 to 99 | 45 to 121 | 78% | 59% | 39% | 23% | 12% | inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 83 | 68 to 98 | 45 to 121 | 77% | 59% | 38% | 22% | 12% | inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Jack Graham | HFFR | 80 | 65 to 95 | 42 to 118 | 70% | 53% | 35% | 21% | 10% | inside our 90% range: 103 |
| Willem Duursma | WL | 76 | 61 to 91 | 38 to 114 | 58% | 43% | 28% | 14% | 7% | outside our 90% range: 22 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 76 | 61 to 91 | 38 to 113 | 57% | 43% | 28% | 14% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | 74 | 59 to 89 | 37 to 111 | 55% | 40% | 25% | 12% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 44 |
| Liam Baker | HBFL | 73 | 58 to 88 | 36 to 110 | 55% | 38% | 22% | 13% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 72 | 57 to 87 | 35 to 109 | 54% | 37% | 21% | 13% | 5% | outside our 90% range: 33 |
| Brandon Starcevich | BPL | 64 | 50 to 79 | 28 to 100 | 36% | 23% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Milan Murdock | FPL | 62 | 48 to 76 | 26 to 98 | 32% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 62 | 48 to 76 | 26 to 98 | 31% | 20% | 11% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 62 | 47 to 76 | 26 to 97 | 31% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 58 | 44 to 72 | 23 to 94 | 28% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Hamish Davis | INT | 58 | 44 to 72 | 23 to 94 | 28% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Tom Gross | HFFL | 56 | 42 to 70 | 21 to 91 | 25% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Rhett Bazzo | FB | 55 | 41 to 70 | 20 to 90 | 24% | 11% | 5% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | FPR | 55 | 40 to 69 | 20 to 90 | 22% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Jack Williams | INT | 49 | 36 to 63 | 15 to 84 | 17% | 8% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 50 |