AFL · ROUND 23 · ENGIE STADIUM
GWS GIANTS v West Coast Eagles
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 1:40pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GWS by 32
GWS to win, 88% chance
GWS 88%12% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GWS by 54
HIT Actual margin 54 · 22.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Goals: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Stringer | FPL | 2.4 | 1.5 to 3.2 | 0.3 to 4.4 | 81% | 58% | 35% | 17% | 9% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Aaron Cadman | FF | 1.9 | 1.1 to 2.7 | 0.1 to 3.8 | 70% | 47% | 27% | 13% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 3.0 |
| Max Gruzewski | CHF | 1.6 | 0.9 to 2.3 | 0.0 to 3.3 | 63% | 34% | 13% | 4% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Toby Greene | RR | 1.6 | 0.9 to 2.4 | 0.0 to 3.4 | 68% | 37% | 16% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Callum Brown | FPR | 1.5 | 0.8 to 2.2 | 0.0 to 3.2 | 58% | 29% | 11% | 4% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Stephen Coniglio | HFFL | 1.2 | 0.6 to 1.8 | 0.0 to 2.6 | 46% | 21% | 7% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Toby Bedford | HFFR | 0.8 | 0.3 to 1.3 | 0.0 to 2.0 | 34% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 0.6 | 0.2 to 1.1 | 0.0 to 1.7 | 23% | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Josaia Delana | INT | 0.6 | 0.1 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 1.6 | 37% | 10% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Cody Angove | INT | 0.5 | 0.1 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 26% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Harry Rowston | R | 0.5 | 0.1 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 27% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Kieren Briggs | INT | 0.5 | 0.1 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.4 | 13% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Riley Hamilton | INT | 0.5 | 0.1 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 20% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Ryan Angwin | WL | 0.5 | 0.1 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 15% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Toby McMullin | INT | 0.5 | 0.1 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 27% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Clayton Oliver | C | 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 6% | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Nicholas Madden | RK | 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 17% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Joe Fonti | BPL | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Lachie Ash | HBFR | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 9% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Lachie Whitfield | HBFL | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Connor Idun | BPR | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Harry Himmelberg | CHB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Sam Taylor | FB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 1+ | 2+ | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Waterman | FF | 2.5 | 1.6 to 3.4 | 0.4 to 4.6 | 83% | 59% | 36% | 20% | 11% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 1.7 | 0.9 to 2.4 | 0.0 to 3.4 | 71% | 40% | 18% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Jack Williams | INT | 0.9 | 0.4 to 1.5 | 0.0 to 2.3 | 34% | 12% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 0.8 | 0.3 to 1.3 | 0.0 to 2.0 | 34% | 13% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Milan Murdock | FPL | 0.8 | 0.3 to 1.3 | 0.0 to 2.0 | 36% | 14% | 4% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | FPR | 0.7 | 0.3 to 1.2 | 0.0 to 1.9 | 27% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Tom Gross | HFFL | 0.7 | 0.2 to 1.1 | 0.0 to 1.8 | 33% | 8% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 0.6 | 0.2 to 1.1 | 0.0 to 1.7 | 17% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 0.5 | 0.1 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 13% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Jack Graham | HFFR | 0.5 | 0.1 to 1.0 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 17% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Willem Duursma | WL | 0.5 | 0.1 to 0.9 | 0.0 to 1.5 | 26% | 7% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 0.0 to 1.3 | 22% | 5% | 2% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Hamish Davis | INT | 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 0.0 to 1.2 | 22% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Liam Duggan | WR | 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.6 | 0.0 to 1.0 | 18% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Marcus Herbert | HBFR | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 0.8 | 11% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 10% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Tom McCarthy | INT | 0.2 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 0.0 to 0.9 | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Brandon Starcevich | BPL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 2% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Liam Baker | HBFL | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.4 | 0.0 to 0.7 | 6% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Rhett Bazzo | FB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 0.1 | 0.0 to 0.3 | 0.0 to 0.5 | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 0.0 |