AFL · ROUND 23 · ENGIE STADIUM
GWS GIANTS v West Coast Eagles
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 1:40pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GWS by 32
GWS to win, 88% chance
GWS 88%12% WCE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GWS by 54
HIT Actual margin 54 · 22.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Marks: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
GWS GIANTS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Idun | BPR | 6.6 | 4.5 to 8.6 | 2.0 to 11.2 | 82% | 70% | 55% | 42% | 29% | inside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Lachie Ash | HBFR | 6.4 | 4.4 to 8.4 | 1.9 to 10.9 | 80% | 69% | 54% | 40% | 28% | outside our 90% range: 11.0 |
| Lachie Whitfield | HBFL | 6.4 | 4.4 to 8.5 | 1.9 to 11.0 | 81% | 69% | 55% | 40% | 29% | inside our 90% range: 9.0 |
| Joe Fonti | BPL | 5.9 | 3.9 to 7.8 | 1.5 to 10.2 | 77% | 64% | 49% | 37% | 25% | inside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Harry Himmelberg | CHB | 5.6 | 3.7 to 7.5 | 1.4 to 9.9 | 69% | 57% | 43% | 30% | 21% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Sam Taylor | FB | 5.4 | 3.5 to 7.2 | 1.2 to 9.5 | 69% | 53% | 38% | 26% | 17% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Aaron Cadman | FF | 4.5 | 2.8 to 6.2 | 0.7 to 8.3 | 50% | 30% | 19% | 12% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Max Gruzewski | CHF | 4.3 | 2.6 to 5.9 | 0.6 to 8.0 | 47% | 34% | 22% | 12% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 7.0 |
| Jake Stringer | FPL | 4.2 | 2.6 to 5.8 | 0.5 to 7.8 | 46% | 30% | 21% | 12% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Harry Rowston | R | 3.9 | 2.3 to 5.5 | 0.4 to 7.5 | 42% | 28% | 17% | 9% | 5% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Callum Brown | FPR | 3.8 | 2.2 to 5.3 | 0.3 to 7.3 | 44% | 31% | 20% | 11% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Toby Greene | RR | 3.7 | 2.2 to 5.3 | 0.3 to 7.2 | 38% | 26% | 17% | 8% | 4% | outside our 90% range: 8.0 |
| Clayton Oliver | C | 3.6 | 2.1 to 5.1 | 0.2 to 7.0 | 32% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Harvey Thomas | WR | 3.4 | 1.9 to 4.8 | 0.1 to 6.7 | 43% | 27% | 15% | 9% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Ryan Angwin | WL | 3.4 | 1.9 to 4.9 | 0.1 to 6.7 | 30% | 20% | 12% | 7% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Stephen Coniglio | HFFL | 3.2 | 1.8 to 4.7 | 0.0 to 6.5 | 37% | 21% | 10% | 5% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Cody Angove | INT | 2.9 | 1.5 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.9 | 25% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Riley Hamilton | INT | 2.9 | 1.5 to 4.3 | 0.0 to 6.0 | 26% | 16% | 8% | 4% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Toby McMullin | INT | 2.7 | 1.4 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 26% | 13% | 5% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Josaia Delana | INT | 2.6 | 1.3 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Toby Bedford | HFFR | 2.5 | 1.2 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 17% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | - |
| Kieren Briggs | INT | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 13% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Nicholas Madden | RK | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | 8+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Waterman | FF | 5.5 | 3.6 to 7.3 | 1.3 to 9.7 | 75% | 58% | 42% | 30% | 19% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Liam Duggan | WR | 5.5 | 3.6 to 7.4 | 1.3 to 9.7 | 66% | 54% | 39% | 26% | 19% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Tom McCarthy | INT | 5.3 | 3.4 to 7.1 | 1.1 to 9.4 | 64% | 47% | 34% | 22% | 13% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Rhett Bazzo | FB | 4.7 | 3.0 to 6.4 | 0.8 to 8.6 | 53% | 38% | 25% | 15% | 8% | inside our 90% range: 2.0 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 4.7 | 3.0 to 6.5 | 0.8 to 8.6 | 59% | 41% | 28% | 18% | 10% | inside our 50% range: 6.0 |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 4.2 | 2.5 to 5.8 | 0.5 to 7.8 | 45% | 30% | 21% | 12% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 4.0 | 2.4 to 5.6 | 0.4 to 7.6 | 49% | 32% | 21% | 12% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Brandon Starcevich | BPL | 3.9 | 2.3 to 5.4 | 0.3 to 7.4 | 51% | 36% | 24% | 14% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | 3.9 | 2.3 to 5.4 | 0.3 to 7.4 | 51% | 35% | 24% | 14% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Marcus Herbert | HBFR | 3.7 | 2.2 to 5.2 | 0.3 to 7.1 | 48% | 30% | 16% | 11% | 5% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Willem Duursma | WL | 3.6 | 2.1 to 5.1 | 0.2 to 7.0 | 36% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 3% | outside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 3.5 | 2.0 to 5.0 | 0.2 to 6.9 | 42% | 27% | 17% | 10% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Tim Kelly | R | 3.4 | 1.9 to 4.9 | 0.1 to 6.7 | 29% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Liam Baker | HBFL | 3.1 | 1.7 to 4.5 | 0.0 to 6.3 | 25% | 14% | 8% | 3% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Jack Williams | INT | 2.7 | 1.4 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 22% | 11% | 4% | 2% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Hamish Davis | INT | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.9 | 0.0 to 5.6 | 17% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Tom Gross | HFFL | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 20% | 9% | 4% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | FPR | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 12% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Elliot Yeo | C | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 14% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Jack Graham | HFFR | 2.2 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 2.0 | 0.9 to 3.1 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.3 | 8% | 4% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Milan Murdock | FPL | 1.7 | 0.6 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |