AFL · ROUND 23 · MARVEL STADIUM
North Melbourne v Geelong Cats
Sat 15 Aug 2026, 3:45pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GEE by 22
GEE to win, 80% chance
NM 20%80% GEE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 15
HIT Actual margin 15 · 7.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
North Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Sheezel | R | 31.3 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.9 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 115 / outside our 90% range: 51 |
| Caleb Daniel | CHB | 27.7 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 103 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Luke Davies-Uniacke | C | 27.1 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 104 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Luke Parker | INT | 26.3 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 97 / outside our 90% range: 55 |
| Colby McKercher | HBFR | 25.3 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 93 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Jy Simpkin | HFFR | 23.2 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Dylan Stephens | WR | 22.0 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Finn O'Sullivan | WL | 20.9 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| George Wardlaw | INT | 18.5 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Tristan Xerri | RK | 18.1 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.1 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 98 / inside our 50% range: 113 |
| Cameron Zurhaar | FPL | 17.3 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Tom Blamires | INT | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Riley Hardeman | HBFL | 14.6 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Paul Curtis | FPR | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Charlie Spargo | HFFL | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Aidan Corr | BPL | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Charlie Comben | FB | 13.2 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Griffin Logue | BPR | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Jack Darling | RR | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Cooper Trembath | CHF | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Nick Larkey | FF | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Zac Banch | INT | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Wil Dawson | INT | 8.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Smith | C | 30.6 / inside our 50% range: 34.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 110 / inside our 50% range: 116 |
| Tom Stewart | BPL | 22.9 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Tanner Bruhn | HBFR | 22.6 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 103 |
| Lawson Humphries | INT | 21.9 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 98 |
| Oliver Dempsey | WL | 20.8 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 105 |
| James Worpel | INT | 20.4 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Tom Atkins | RR | 20.1 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Gryan Miers | HFFL | 18.6 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Shaun Mannagh | FPL | 17.7 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 100 |
| Jhye Clark | INT | 17.5 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Oisin Mullin | R | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Zach Guthrie | HBFL | 16.0 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Connor O'Sullivan | FB | 15.9 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Mark O'Connor | BPR | 15.8 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Patrick Dangerfield | INT | 15.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Mark Blicavs | WR | 14.6 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.4 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 98 |
| Jack Henry | CHB | 13.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Mitchell Edwards | RK | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Oliver Wiltshire | HFFR | 11.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / outside our 90% range: 6 |
| Shannon Neale | FF | 11.3 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Oliver Henry | CHF | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Brad Close | INT | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Jay Polkinghorne | FPR | 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 51 |