AFL · ROUND 23 · MCG
Richmond v St Kilda
Sat 15 Aug 2026, 12:35pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
STK by 26
STK to win, 84% chance
RIC 16%84% STK
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
STK by 49
HIT Actual margin 49 · 22.7 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Ross | RR | 27.3 / outside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 102 / outside our 90% range: 52 |
| Tim Taranto | C | 27.3 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 110 / inside our 50% range: 101 |
| Jayden Short | INT | 22.7 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Dion Prestia | CHF | 21.3 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 100 |
| Patrick Retschko | WL | 20.7 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Sam Banks | CHB | 20.7 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Tom Brown | HBFR | 20.2 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Nick Vlastuin | HBFL | 19.7 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Toby Nankervis | RK | 17.6 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 93 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Ben Miller | FB | 17.1 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Nathan Broad | BPL | 16.0 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Seth Campbell | HFFL | 15.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Luke Trainor | INT | 15.4 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Hugo Ralphsmith | HFFR | 15.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Sam Lalor | FPL | 14.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Taj Hotton | R | 14.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Kye Annand | BPR | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Judson Clarke | WR | 13.7 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Sam Grlj | INT | 13.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Steely Green | INT | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Tom Lynch | FF | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Mykelti Lefau | FPR | 9.4 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Harry Armstrong | INT | 8.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 47 / outside our 90% range: 6 |
St Kilda
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Hill | HFFR | 27.7 / outside our 90% range: 41.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 103 / outside our 90% range: 145 |
| Hugo Garcia | RR | 26.1 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.9 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 94 / inside our 90% range: 130 |
| Max Hall | R | 25.8 / outside our 90% range: 40.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 104 / outside our 90% range: 161 |
| Marcus Windhager | CHB | 25.4 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Darcy Wilson | WL | 24.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 98 / outside our 90% range: 47 |
| Jack Macrae | INT | 23.0 / inside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 78 / outside our 90% range: 122 |
| Callum Wilkie | FB | 22.3 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 8.2 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 94 |
| Mattaes Phillipou | INT | 21.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Rowan Marshall | FF | 20.4 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 97 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Liam Stocker | HBFR | 20.3 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Ryan Byrnes | HFFL | 18.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Hugh Boxshall | WR | 16.9 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 104 |
| Jack Silvagni | BPL | 15.7 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Tom De Koning | RK | 15.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Tobie Travaglia | INT | 15.0 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Mitch Owens | C | 14.2 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Angus Hastie | HBFL | 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Liam O'Connell | BPR | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Cooper Sharman | FPL | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Campbell Lake | INT | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Alix Tauru | INT | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 40 |
| Dan Butler | FPR | 11.0 / outside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 56 / outside our 90% range: 115 |
| Jack Higgins | CHF | 10.8 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 68 |