AFL · ROUND 23 · MARVEL STADIUM
Western Bulldogs v Carlton
Sun 16 Aug 2026, 3:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
CAR by 19
CAR to win, 77% chance
WB 23%77% CAR
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
Draw
HIT Actual margin 0 · 19.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed Richards | R | 26.9 / inside our 50% range: 31.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 102 / inside our 50% range: 109 |
| Ryley Sanders | RR | 23.9 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Bailey Williams | HBFR | 22.5 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 91 / inside our 90% range: 65 |
| Tom Liberatore | INT | 21.6 / outside our 90% range: 33.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 75 / outside our 90% range: 114 |
| Lachlan Bramble | HBFL | 20.7 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Joel Freijah | C | 20.6 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Matthew Kennedy | INT | 18.4 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 97 |
| Cooper Hynes | WR | 16.5 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Sam Davidson | WL | 14.7 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Michael Sellwood | BPL | 14.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Rhylee West | INT | 14.2 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Lachie Jaques | INT | 13.6 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Cody Weightman | HFFL | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Buku Khamis | FB | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Josh Dolan | FPL | 12.6 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Lachlan Carmichael | BPR | 12.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Rory Lobb | RK | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| James O'Donnell | CHB | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 61 / outside our 90% range: 19 |
| Aaron Naughton | FF | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Arthur Jones | HFFR | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Luke Kennedy | INT | 10.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 37 |
| Jordan Croft | FPR | 9.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 23 |
| Louis Emmett | CHF | 8.4 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 48 / outside our 90% range: 7 |
Carlton
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Walsh | R | 29.4 / inside our 50% range: 33.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 106 / inside our 50% range: 114 |
| Jagga Smith | INT | 26.5 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| George Hewett | RR | 26.0 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 99 / inside our 90% range: 138 |
| Patrick Cripps | C | 25.4 / inside our 90% range: 34.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 101 / inside our 50% range: 107 |
| Oliver Florent | HBFR | 24.7 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 95 / inside our 90% range: 125 |
| Adam Cerra | WR | 23.0 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Billy Wilson | BPR | 22.0 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 104 |
| Cooper Lord | FPL | 20.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Blake Acres | INT | 20.2 / outside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.2 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 81 / outside our 90% range: 126 |
| Nick Haynes | INT | 17.9 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.6 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 116 |
| Ben Ainsworth | HFFR | 17.1 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Lachlan Cowan | BPL | 16.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Will Hayward | INT | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Matthew Cottrell | WL | 15.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Jacob Weitering | FB | 15.4 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.4 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Wade Derksen | INT | 15.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Francis Evans | FPR | 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Harry McKay | CHF | 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Marc Pittonet | RK | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Harry Dean | CHB | 12.8 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Mitch McGovern | HBFL | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Talor Byrne | HFFL | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Brodie Kemp | FF | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 49 |