AFL · ROUND 24 · MARVEL STADIUM
Carlton v Fremantle
Sat 22 Aug 2026, 1:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
CAR by 6
CAR to win, 59% chance
CAR 59%41% FRE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
CAR by 37
HIT Actual margin 37 · 31.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Carlton
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Walsh | R | 29.5 / inside our 50% range: 32.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 106 / inside our 50% range: 100 |
| Jagga Smith | RR | 27.0 / inside our 50% range: 31.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 104 |
| Patrick Cripps | C | 26.4 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 101 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| George Hewett | INT | 25.8 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 96 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Oliver Florent | HBFR | 24.5 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Billy Wilson | WR | 22.7 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Adam Cerra | INT | 22.3 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 86 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Blake Acres | WL | 21.7 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 92 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Cooper Lord | FPR | 19.4 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Ben Ainsworth | HFFL | 16.5 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.6 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 105 |
| Oliver Hollands | INT | 16.2 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Lachlan Cowan | HBFL | 15.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Jacob Weitering | BPR | 14.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Matthew Cottrell | INT | 14.4 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Francis Evans | HFFR | 13.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Harry McKay | FF | 13.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Marc Pittonet | RK | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Wade Derksen | FB | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Harry Dean | BPL | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Mitch McGovern | INT | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Brodie Kemp | CHF | 10.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Talor Byrne | FPL | 10.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Lewis Young | CHB | 10.2 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Brayshaw | C | 25.1 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 93 |
| Caleb Serong | RR | 24.5 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Jordan Clark | HBFL | 23.0 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 96 |
| Luke Ryan | CHB | 21.7 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Shai Bolton | FPL | 21.7 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Matthew Johnson | WL | 20.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Hayden Young | R | 19.9 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Karl Worner | INT | 19.9 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Luke Jackson | RK | 18.1 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 100 / inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Neil Erasmus | WR | 17.7 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Judd McVee | HBFR | 15.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Nathan O'Driscoll | INT | 14.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Bailey Banfield | INT | 14.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Oscar McDonald | BPR | 12.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Josh Treacy | FF | 11.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Brennan Cox | BPL | 11.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 53 / outside our 90% range: 4 |
| Michael Frederick | HFFL | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Isaiah Dudley | FPR | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Patrick Voss | CHF | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Tobyn Murray | INT | 9.6 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Christopher Scerri | HFFR | 9.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 22 |
| Alex Pearce | FB | 9.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 20 |
| Mason Cox | INT | 7.9 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 48 |