AFL · ROUND 24 · MCG
Collingwood v Brisbane Lions
Fri 21 Aug 2026, 7:40pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
BRI by 10
BRI to win, 65% chance
COL 35%65% BRI
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
BRI by 63
HIT Actual margin 63 · 53.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | R | 30.1 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 113 / outside our 90% range: 69 |
| Josh Daicos | CHB | 28.0 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 107 / inside our 50% range: 96 |
| Jordan De Goey | C | 22.1 / outside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.8 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 87 / inside our 90% range: 117 |
| Dan Houston | HBFL | 21.6 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Scott Pendlebury | INT | 21.6 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 77 / outside our 90% range: 26 |
| Edward Allan | RR | 19.8 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Jack Crisp | HBFR | 19.1 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 77 / inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Darcy Cameron | RK | 18.7 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 101 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Sam Swadling | INT | 18.2 / outside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 110 |
| Steele Sidebottom | WR | 17.5 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Jeremy Howe | FB | 17.2 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 71 / outside our 90% range: 34 |
| Ned Long | INT | 16.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.1 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Beau McCreery | HFFR | 14.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Roan Steele | WL | 14.4 / outside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 87 |
| Lachie Schultz | INT | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Tim Membrey | FPR | 11.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Daniel McStay | FPL | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 76 / outside our 90% range: 29 |
| Harvey Harrison | CHF | 11.2 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Billy Frampton | BPL | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Angus Anderson | HFFL | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Liam Puncher | BPR | 9.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 18 |
| William Hayes | INT | 8.9 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Charlie West | FF | 7.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ashcroft | C | 28.5 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 111 / inside our 50% range: 99 |
| Lachie Neale | R | 27.2 / inside our 90% range: 35.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 105 / inside our 50% range: 104 |
| Dayne Zorko | HBFR | 26.2 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 107 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Josh Dunkley | RR | 22.4 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 104 / inside our 50% range: 106 |
| Darcy Wilmot | HBFL | 22.3 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 89 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Zac Bailey | WR | 22.2 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 97 / inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Jaspa Fletcher | INT | 20.9 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 89 |
| Levi Ashcroft | INT | 20.1 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Jarrod Berry | WL | 18.3 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Cam Rayner | FF | 16.3 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Ryan Lester | BPR | 14.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 71 / outside our 90% range: 33 |
| Harris Andrews | FB | 14.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Noah Answerth | BPL | 13.1 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Kai Lohmann | FPR | 12.8 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Darcy Fort | RK | 11.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Charlie Cameron | HFFL | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Conor McKenna | INT | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Ty Gallop | INT | 11.3 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Darcy Gardiner | CHB | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Logan Morris | CHF | 10.3 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 2.5 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 71 / outside our 90% range: 122 |
| Eric Hipwood | FPL | 9.9 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Sam Draper | INT | 9.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Oscar Allen | HFFR | 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 55 |