AFL · ROUND 24 · MARVEL STADIUM
Essendon v Port Adelaide
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 12:20pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
PA by 11
PA to win, 67% chance
ESS 33%67% PA
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
PA by 10
HIT Actual margin 10 · 1.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Essendon
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zach Merrett | RR | 29.2 / inside our 50% range: 32.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 110 / inside our 50% range: 123 |
| Archie Roberts | CHB | 28.9 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 104 / inside our 90% range: 84 |
| Will Setterfield | C | 26.2 / inside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 5.2 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 105 / inside our 90% range: 141 |
| Elijah Tsatas | INT | 24.1 / - | 0.3 / - | 3.6 / - | 2.7 / - | 83 / - |
| Dyson Sharp | R | 23.1 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 95 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Mason Redman | BPR | 22.2 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 90 / outside our 90% range: 43 |
| Andrew McGrath | BPL | 21.4 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 13.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 120 |
| Jye Caldwell | HFFL | 21.3 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Jacob Farrow | INT | 19.6 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 53 |
| Jaxon Prior | HBFL | 19.0 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Kyle Langford | FPR | 16.7 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Zach Reid | FB | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 98 |
| Jaxon Artemis | HBFR | 15.9 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Archie Perkins | INT | 14.9 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Max Kondogiannis | WL | 14.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Vigo Visentini | RK | 14.3 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 77 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Angus Clarke | WR | 14.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.4 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Peter Wright | FF | 13.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Isaac Kako | FPL | 13.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Nick Bryan | INT | 12.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Archer Day-Wicks | HFFR | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Lachlan Blakiston | INT | 11.8 / - | 0.2 / - | 3.0 / - | 2.1 / - | 59 / - |
| Nate Caddy | CHF | 11.3 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 100 |
| Rhys Unwin | INT | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Harrison Jones | INT | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Hussien El Achkar | INT | 10.6 / - | 0.5 / - | 2.2 / - | 2.6 / - | 50 / - |
Port Adelaide
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jase Burgoyne | WR | 26.3 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 110 / inside our 90% range: 137 |
| Ollie Wines | C | 26.0 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 93 / inside our 50% range: 101 |
| Darcy Byrne-Jones | BPR | 24.9 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Will Brodie | INT | 23.7 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 63 |
| Joe Richards | HFFR | 22.9 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 99 / inside our 50% range: 101 |
| Miles Bergman | RR | 21.9 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 96 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Will Lorenz | INT | 18.9 / - | 0.3 / - | 3.5 / - | 2.2 / - | 74 / - |
| Lachie Jones | HBFR | 16.9 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Joe Berry | R | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Jacob Wehr | WL | 15.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Jordon Sweet | RK | 15.4 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Christian Moraes | INT | 15.3 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Jackson Mead | INT | 14.6 / - | 0.4 / - | 3.4 / - | 2.9 / - | 58 / - |
| Josh Lai | BPL | 14.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Mitch Georgiades | FF | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 6.6 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 95 |
| Balyn O'Brien | HBFL | 13.0 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / outside our 90% range: 16 |
| Tom Anastasopoulos | INT | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Alex Van Wyk | INT | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Corey Durdin | FPL | 11.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Xavier Bamert | HFFL | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Todd Marshall | CHF | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Dante Visentini | CHB | 10.3 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Xavier Walsh | INT | 10.3 / - | 0.5 / - | 3.1 / - | 1.9 / - | 43 / - |
| Harrison Ramm | FB | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 32 |
| Mitch Zadow | INT | 10.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Jack Whitlock | FPR | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 61 |