AFL · ROUND 24 · GMHBA STADIUM
Geelong Cats v Richmond
Sat 22 Aug 2026, 7:45pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
GEE by 45
GEE to win, 94% chance
GEE 94%6% RIC
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GEE by 57
HIT Actual margin 57 · 12.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Smith | C | 31.1 / inside our 90% range: 40.0 | 0.4 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 111 / outside our 90% range: 159 |
| Tanner Bruhn | HBFR | 25.2 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Tom Stewart | BPL | 23.6 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Lawson Humphries | INT | 22.9 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 86 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Oliver Dempsey | WL | 22.3 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.5 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 95 / inside our 90% range: 114 |
| Tom Atkins | RR | 20.5 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Gryan Miers | HFFL | 19.5 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Shaun Mannagh | HFFR | 18.8 / outside our 90% range: 33.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 84 / outside our 90% range: 139 |
| Oisin Mullin | R | 18.3 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Connor O'Sullivan | FB | 17.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Zach Guthrie | HBFL | 17.0 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Jhye Clark | INT | 16.8 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Mark O'Connor | BPR | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Sam De Koning | INT | 16.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Jeremy Cameron | CHF | 15.7 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Patrick Dangerfield | FPR | 14.9 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 104 |
| Jack Henry | CHB | 13.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 63 / outside our 90% range: 11 |
| Shannon Neale | FF | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Brad Close | WR | 12.5 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Mitchell Edwards | RK | 12.3 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 98 |
| Oliver Henry | FPL | 12.1 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Jack Martin | INT | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Jay Polkinghorne | INT | 9.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
Richmond
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Taranto | C | 26.7 / inside our 90% range: 36.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 101 / inside our 90% range: 134 |
| Jack Ross | RR | 25.4 / inside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 112 |
| Jayden Short | INT | 22.6 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Patrick Retschko | WL | 21.1 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Nick Vlastuin | HBFL | 20.6 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Kane McAuliffe | INT | 20.2 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Tom Brown | HBFR | 19.4 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 75 / outside our 90% range: 34 |
| Sam Banks | CHB | 19.2 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 70 / outside our 90% range: 12 |
| Toby Nankervis | RK | 18.5 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 87 / inside our 90% range: 109 |
| Seth Campbell | HFFL | 16.6 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Ben Miller | FB | 16.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 69 / outside our 90% range: 26 |
| Luke Trainor | BPL | 15.2 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Hugo Ralphsmith | HFFR | 14.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Taj Hotton | R | 14.8 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Judson Clarke | WR | 14.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 27 |
| Sam Grlj | FF | 13.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Kye Annand | BPR | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Steely Green | CHF | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Tom Lynch | FPL | 10.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Maurice Rioli | INT | 9.7 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Mykelti Lefau | FPR | 9.5 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 47 |
| Campbell Gray | INT | 9.3 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Samson Ryan | INT | 8.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 53 |