AFL · ROUND 24 · MCG
Melbourne v Western Bulldogs
Sat 22 Aug 2026, 4:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
MEL by 21
MEL to win, 79% chance
MEL 79%21% WB
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WB by 21
MISS Actual margin 21 · 42.0 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Melbourne
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Bowey | BPL | 27.3 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 104 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Tom Sparrow | C | 26.0 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 106 / outside our 90% range: 56 |
| Jack Steele | RR | 25.8 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.1 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 98 / inside our 50% range: 94 |
| Kysaiah Pickett | HFFL | 25.2 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 103 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Trent Rivers | INT | 24.7 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 92 / inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Max Gawn | RK | 23.5 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 114 / inside our 90% range: 148 |
| Christian Salem | HBFL | 20.5 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 81 / outside our 90% range: 41 |
| Ed Langdon | HFFR | 20.1 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Joel Fitzgerald | INT | 20.0 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 74 / inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Koltyn Tholstrup | FPL | 19.8 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Harvey Langford | WR | 18.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Xavier Lindsay | FF | 18.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 78 / outside our 90% range: 13 |
| Daniel Turner | BPR | 17.5 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Changkuoth Jiath | HBFR | 17.0 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Jake Lever | FB | 16.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Caleb Windsor | R | 16.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Kade Chandler | FPR | 15.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Harry Sharp | WL | 14.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 74 / outside our 90% range: 31 |
| Bailey Laurie | INT | 14.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 37 |
| Tom McDonald | CHB | 14.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Bayley Fritsch | INT | 13.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Harrison Petty | INT | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.5 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 66 / outside our 90% range: 123 |
| Matthew Jefferson | CHF | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Dale | HBFR | 27.5 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 104 / inside our 50% range: 94 |
| Ed Richards | R | 26.3 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 98 / inside our 50% range: 105 |
| Marcus Bontempelli | FF | 24.8 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 92 / inside our 90% range: 121 |
| Bailey Williams | WL | 23.3 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 88 / outside our 90% range: 43 |
| Matthew Kennedy | RR | 22.5 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 97 |
| Ryley Sanders | INT | 22.1 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Lachlan Bramble | HBFL | 21.2 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Joel Freijah | C | 20.1 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 104 |
| Connor Budarick | BPR | 18.2 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Cooper Hynes | WR | 17.1 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Michael Sellwood | BPL | 14.7 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Rhylee West | INT | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Buku Khamis | FB | 13.5 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Sam Davidson | FPR | 13.5 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Rory Lobb | RK | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Cody Weightman | HFFL | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| James O'Donnell | CHB | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Josh Dolan | FPL | 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Aaron Naughton | CHF | 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.5 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Arthur Jones | HFFR | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Luke Kennedy | INT | 10.3 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 44 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Lachlan Carmichael | INT | 10.2 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 33 |
| Ryan Gardner | INT | 8.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 35 |