AFL · ROUND 24 · MARVEL STADIUM
St Kilda v Gold Coast SUNS
Thu 20 Aug 2026, 7:30pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
STK by 13
STK to win, 69% chance
STK 69%31% GCS
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
GCS by 23
MISS Actual margin 23 · 36.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
St Kilda
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Hill | HFFR | 27.8 / outside our 90% range: 42.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 6.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 102 / inside our 90% range: 133 |
| Max Hall | R | 26.7 / inside our 90% range: 37.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 108 / inside our 90% range: 134 |
| Hugo Garcia | RR | 26.5 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 101 / inside our 90% range: 120 |
| Jack Macrae | INT | 23.6 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Marcus Windhager | CHB | 23.4 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 86 / inside our 50% range: 86 |
| Darcy Wilson | WL | 22.2 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Callum Wilkie | FB | 21.5 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 8.2 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 87 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Liam Stocker | HBFR | 19.6 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Rowan Marshall | FF | 19.4 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 93 / inside our 90% range: 67 |
| Mattaes Phillipou | INT | 19.2 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.2 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Ryan Byrnes | HFFL | 18.0 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Hugh Boxshall | WR | 17.6 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 4.8 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 108 |
| Jack Silvagni | BPL | 15.3 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 69 / outside our 90% range: 19 |
| Tom De Koning | RK | 14.7 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 78 / outside our 90% range: 40 |
| Tobie Travaglia | INT | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Mitch Owens | C | 13.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Angus Hastie | INT | 13.3 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
| Dan Butler | FPR | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Liam O'Connell | HBFL | 12.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Dougal Howard | BPR | 11.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / outside our 90% range: 9 |
| Campbell Lake | INT | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Cooper Sharman | FPL | 11.3 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Liam Ryan | CHF | 9.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 26 |
Gold Coast SUNS
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Rowell | RR | 28.1 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 6.7 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 114 / inside our 50% range: 114 |
| Noah Anderson | R | 27.7 / inside our 90% range: 37.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 107 / inside our 90% range: 127 |
| John Noble | HBFR | 26.3 / outside our 90% range: 42.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / outside our 90% range: 13.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 103 / outside our 90% range: 153 |
| Touk Miller | HFFL | 23.7 / outside our 90% range: 40.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 93 / outside our 90% range: 142 |
| Bodhi Uwland | BPR | 23.6 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Daniel Rioli | HBFL | 22.0 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 84 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Sam Clohesy | INT | 18.2 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Mac Andrew | CHB | 18.1 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 84 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Beau Addinsall | WR | 16.3 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Joel Jeffrey | BPL | 16.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Leonardo Lombard | HFFR | 16.2 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.9 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Bailey Humphrey | C | 15.1 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Nick Holman | WL | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Ben Jepson | INT | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Lachlan Gulbin | INT | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Jarrod Witts | FF | 11.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 33 |
| Ned Moyle | RK | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 85 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Ethan Read | CHF | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Charlie Ballard | FB | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Jake Rogers | INT | 10.3 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Ben Long | FPL | 10.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Jed Walter | FPR | 8.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Ben King | INT | 8.2 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 54 |