AFL · ROUND 24 · OPTUS STADIUM
West Coast Eagles v Hawthorn
Sun 23 Aug 2026, 5:20pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
HAW by 30
HAW to win, 87% chance
WCE 13%87% HAW
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
HAW by 62
HIT Actual margin 62 · 32.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Tackles: the first figure is our prediction. The 50% range holds the result half the time and the 90% range nine times in ten. Each percentage is the chance of reaching that number or more.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
West Coast Eagles
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Graham | WL | 5.7 | 3.9 to 7.6 | 1.7 to 9.8 | 84% | 73% | 60% | 48% | 34% | inside our 50% range: 7.0 |
| Elliot Yeo | R | 4.9 | 3.2 to 6.6 | 1.1 to 8.6 | 73% | 57% | 41% | 28% | 19% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Harley Reid | RR | 3.9 | 2.4 to 5.4 | 0.6 to 7.3 | 60% | 40% | 26% | 16% | 7% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Tim Kelly | C | 3.7 | 2.3 to 5.2 | 0.5 to 7.0 | 59% | 41% | 24% | 13% | 8% | inside our 50% range: 5.0 |
| Bailey J. Williams | RK | 2.9 | 1.6 to 4.2 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 49% | 30% | 18% | 9% | 4% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Willem Duursma | HFFR | 2.8 | 1.5 to 4.1 | 0.0 to 5.7 | 43% | 26% | 15% | 8% | 4% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Milan Murdock | FPL | 2.7 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 37% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Brady Hough | BPR | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 32% | 17% | 8% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Jack Hutchinson | INT | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.2 | 39% | 23% | 11% | 6% | 2% | - |
| Tom Gross | HFFL | 2.5 | 1.3 to 3.7 | 0.0 to 5.1 | 34% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 2% | inside our 90% range: 1.0 |
| Bo Allan | INT | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 26% | 13% | 4% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Cooper Duff-Tytler | FPR | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 28% | 14% | 5% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Hamish Davis | INT | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 28% | 16% | 7% | 4% | 2% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Tom Cole | INT | 2.2 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 20% | 11% | 5% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Marcus Herbert | HBFR | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 28% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Ryan Maric | INT | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 22% | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | - |
| Tom McCarthy | INT | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Brandon Starcevich | BPL | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 22% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Liam Baker | HBFL | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 23% | 10% | 4% | 2% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Liam Duggan | WR | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.9 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 15% | 6% | 3% | 1% | 1% | - |
| Jobe Shanahan | CHF | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 15% | 6% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Josh Lindsay | INT | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 3.9 | 17% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Jack Williams | INT | 1.6 | 0.6 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 3.8 | 20% | 7% | 2% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Jake Waterman | FF | 1.3 | 0.4 to 2.2 | 0.0 to 3.3 | 12% | 5% | 2% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Tylar Young | CHB | 1.3 | 0.4 to 2.1 | 0.0 to 3.2 | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Rhett Bazzo | FB | 1.2 | 0.4 to 2.1 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
Hawthorn
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | PREDICTED | 50% RANGE | 90% RANGE | 3+ | 4+ | 5+ | 6+ | 7+ | ACTUAL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Mackenzie | R | 4.7 | 3.0 to 6.3 | 1.0 to 8.3 | 70% | 54% | 38% | 26% | 18% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Will Day | C | 4.2 | 2.6 to 5.8 | 0.7 to 7.7 | 66% | 51% | 34% | 23% | 12% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Jai Newcombe | RR | 4.0 | 2.5 to 5.6 | 0.6 to 7.4 | 63% | 45% | 30% | 20% | 10% | inside our 50% range: 4.0 |
| Josh Ward | INT | 3.9 | 2.4 to 5.4 | 0.6 to 7.3 | 60% | 40% | 26% | 16% | 7% | inside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Lloyd Meek | RK | 3.7 | 2.2 to 5.1 | 0.4 to 6.9 | 56% | 37% | 21% | 12% | 6% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Sam Butler | INT | 3.3 | 1.9 to 4.6 | 0.2 to 6.3 | 49% | 30% | 18% | 11% | 6% | - |
| Connor Macdonald | INT | 2.7 | 1.5 to 4.0 | 0.0 to 5.5 | 37% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 3% | inside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Harry Morrison | INT | 2.6 | 1.4 to 3.8 | 0.0 to 5.3 | 33% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | inside our 50% range: 3.0 |
| Bailey Macdonald | WL | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.6 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 24% | 12% | 6% | 3% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Nick Watson | FPL | 2.4 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 5.0 | 35% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Jack Dalton | INT | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 22% | 10% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Massimo D'Ambrosio | WR | 2.3 | 1.1 to 3.4 | 0.0 to 4.8 | 19% | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Ned Reeves | INT | 2.3 | 1.2 to 3.5 | 0.0 to 4.9 | 32% | 15% | 6% | 2% | 0% | - |
| Dylan Moore | HFFL | 2.2 | 1.1 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.7 | 22% | 13% | 6% | 3% | 1% | outside our 90% range: 5.0 |
| Calsher Dear | INT | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 26% | 15% | 7% | 3% | 1% | - |
| Karl Amon | INT | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.2 | 0.0 to 4.5 | 29% | 16% | 8% | 3% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Max Beattie | HFFR | 2.1 | 1.0 to 3.3 | 0.0 to 4.6 | 25% | 13% | 7% | 2% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Blake Hardwick | BPR | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 21% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 4.0 |
| Mabior Chol | CHF | 1.8 | 0.8 to 2.8 | 0.0 to 4.1 | 20% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Josh Battle | HBFR | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 3.9 | 20% | 9% | 3% | 1% | 0% | inside our 90% range: 0.0 |
| Josh Weddle | CHB | 1.7 | 0.7 to 2.7 | 0.0 to 4.0 | 23% | 11% | 4% | 1% | 0% | outside our 90% range: 6.0 |
| Jarman Impey | HBFL | 1.6 | 0.6 to 2.6 | 0.0 to 3.7 | 19% | 6% | 1% | 1% | 1% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| James Sicily | BPL | 1.5 | 0.6 to 2.5 | 0.0 to 3.6 | 12% | 4% | 1% | 1% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |
| Jack Gunston | FPR | 1.4 | 0.5 to 2.4 | 0.0 to 3.5 | 14% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Mitch Lewis | FF | 1.4 | 0.5 to 2.3 | 0.0 to 3.4 | 13% | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 2.0 |
| Tom Barrass | FB | 1.2 | 0.4 to 2.1 | 0.0 to 3.1 | 8% | 3% | 1% | 0% | 0% | inside our 50% range: 1.0 |