AFL · WILDCARD FINALS · MCG
Western Bulldogs v Collingwood
Fri 28 Aug 2026, 7:40pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
COL by 14
COL to win, 69% chance
WB 31%69% COL
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
WB by 3
MISS Actual margin 3 · 17.1 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Dale | HBFR | 28.1 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 106 / inside our 50% range: 91 |
| Ed Richards | R | 27.9 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 104 / inside our 50% range: 98 |
| Marcus Bontempelli | FF | 24.9 / inside our 90% range: 32.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 96 / inside our 50% range: 111 |
| Matthew Kennedy | RR | 23.4 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 122 |
| Ryley Sanders | WL | 21.8 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 82 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Lachlan Bramble | HBFL | 21.1 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Joel Freijah | C | 20.6 / inside our 90% range: 27.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 86 / inside our 50% range: 99 |
| Bailey Williams | BPR | 20.5 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Cooper Hynes | WR | 16.3 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Connor Budarick | INT | 16.2 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Tim English | RK | 15.5 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 89 / inside our 90% range: 112 |
| Sam Davidson | INT | 14.7 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 65 / inside our 90% range: 81 |
| Michael Sellwood | BPL | 14.6 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 65 / outside our 90% range: 16 |
| Buku Khamis | FB | 13.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.1 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Rhylee West | INT | 13.8 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Cody Weightman | HFFL | 12.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Josh Dolan | FPL | 12.2 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Luke Kennedy | INT | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
| Rory Lobb | FPR | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| James O'Donnell | CHB | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Aaron Naughton | CHF | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Arthur Jones | HFFR | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 90% range: 89 |
| Ryan Gardner | INT | 9.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 24 |
Collingwood
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Daicos | C | 31.8 / inside our 50% range: 30.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 113 / inside our 50% range: 115 |
| Josh Daicos | CHB | 28.0 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 103 / inside our 50% range: 106 |
| Jordan De Goey | R | 24.7 / outside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 94 / outside our 90% range: 51 |
| Dan Houston | HBFR | 21.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 89 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Sam Swadling | HBFL | 21.5 / outside our 90% range: 32.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 85 / inside our 90% range: 106 |
| Patrick Lipinski | CHF | 20.3 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Edward Allan | INT | 20.1 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Jack Crisp | WL | 19.4 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 77 / inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Darcy Cameron | RK | 19.3 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 102 / inside our 90% range: 132 |
| Ned Long | RR | 18.4 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 6.3 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 83 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Steele Sidebottom | WR | 18.2 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Beau McCreery | HFFR | 16.8 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Isaac Quaynor | BPL | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Roan Steele | INT | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 71 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Jeremy Howe | FB | 16.4 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 49 |
| Lachie Schultz | FF | 13.3 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Tim Membrey | FPR | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 53 |
| Harvey Harrison | INT | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 57 / inside our 50% range: 45 |
| Billy Frampton | BPR | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.0 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Daniel McStay | INT | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Angus Anderson | INT | 11.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| William Hayes | HFFL | 9.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 52 / outside our 90% range: 19 |
| Charlie West | FPL | 7.8 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 29 |