AFL · QUALIFYING & ELIMINATION FINALS · ADELAIDE OVAL
Adelaide Crows v Western Bulldogs
Sat 5 Sep 2026, 7:05pm ACST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
ADE by 23
ADE to win, 79% chance
ADE 79%21% WB
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
ADE by 22
HIT Actual margin 22 · 1.0 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Adelaide Crows
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Dawson | C | 27.0 / inside our 50% range: 28.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 108 / inside our 50% range: 109 |
| Izak Rankine | RR | 26.1 / inside our 90% range: 34.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 102 / inside our 90% range: 138 |
| Wayne Milera | HBFL | 24.3 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 96 / inside our 50% range: 106 |
| Rory Laird | HBFR | 22.6 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 88 |
| Sam Berry | INT | 22.3 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 7.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 88 / inside our 90% range: 61 |
| Hugo Hall-Kahan | INT | 19.5 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 57 |
| Josh Worrell | BPL | 19.0 / outside our 90% range: 34.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 74 / outside our 90% range: 116 |
| Jake Soligo | INT | 17.4 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Daniel Curtin | WR | 17.0 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 59 |
| Alex Neal-Bullen | R | 16.7 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 77 |
| Brayden Cook | WL | 16.4 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 92 |
| Mark Keane | CHB | 15.8 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 94 |
| Luke Nankervis | INT | 15.5 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 78 |
| Ben Keays | HFFL | 14.3 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Max Michalanney | BPR | 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Riley Thilthorpe | CHF | 13.3 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Isaac Cumming | INT | 13.2 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Callum Ah Chee | FPR | 12.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 61 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Josh Rachele | HFFR | 12.3 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Lachlan McAndrew | RK | 12.0 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 87 / inside our 90% range: 68 |
| Darcy Fogarty | FPL | 11.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 75 |
| Taylor Walker | FF | 10.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| James Borlase | FB | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 46 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
Western Bulldogs
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ed Richards | R | 26.1 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 0.6 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 96 / inside our 50% range: 105 |
| Bailey Dale | HBFR | 25.4 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 92 / outside our 90% range: 45 |
| Marcus Bontempelli | RR | 25.1 / inside our 50% range: 27.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 95 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Ryley Sanders | WL | 21.7 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Joel Freijah | C | 20.7 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 99 |
| Bailey Williams | BPR | 19.2 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 93 |
| Lachlan Bramble | HBFL | 18.7 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 69 / outside our 90% range: 23 |
| Cooper Hynes | WR | 16.0 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Tim English | RK | 15.5 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Connor Budarick | INT | 14.7 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Sam Davidson | INT | 14.0 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Rhylee West | FPR | 13.6 / outside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Michael Sellwood | BPL | 12.5 / - | 0.0 / - | 3.5 / - | 2.4 / - | 50 / - |
| Cody Weightman | HFFL | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 26 |
| Luke Kennedy | INT | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Buku Khamis | FB | 10.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 35 |
| Aaron Naughton | FF | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.4 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Arthur Jones | HFFR | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Josh Dolan | FPL | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Rory Lobb | CHF | 10.1 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| James O'Donnell | CHB | 10.0 / outside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 71 |
| Will Lewis | INT | 8.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 34 |
| Ryan Gardner | INT | 7.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 37 / inside our 50% range: 26 |