AFL · QUALIFYING & ELIMINATION FINALS · OPTUS STADIUM
Fremantle v Hawthorn
Thu 3 Sep 2026, 6:10pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
FRE by 4
FRE to win, 56% chance
FRE 56%44% HAW
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
HAW by 32
MISS Actual margin 32 · 36.5 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caleb Serong | RR | 24.4 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.4 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 92 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Andrew Brayshaw | C | 24.3 / inside our 90% range: 30.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 6.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 92 / inside our 90% range: 114 |
| Jordan Clark | BPL | 22.3 / outside our 90% range: 38.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 80 / outside our 90% range: 131 |
| Murphy Reid | INT | 20.9 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Shai Bolton | CHF | 20.1 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 77 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Hayden Young | R | 19.9 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 66 |
| Luke Ryan | CHB | 19.5 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 74 / outside our 90% range: 110 |
| Matthew Johnson | WL | 19.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Karl Worner | HBFL | 18.2 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 91 |
| Neil Erasmus | WR | 17.6 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 87 |
| Luke Jackson | RK | 17.2 / inside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 5.4 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 99 / inside our 50% range: 105 |
| Nathan O'Driscoll | INT | 14.1 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Heath Chapman | HBFR | 13.5 / outside our 90% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Sam Switkowski | HFFR | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Brandon Walker | INT | 12.7 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 39 |
| Michael Frederick | HFFL | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Josh Treacy | FF | 11.4 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.7 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / outside our 90% range: 18 |
| Oscar McDonald | BPR | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Isaiah Dudley | INT | 10.9 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 49 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Patrick Voss | FPR | 9.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Jye Amiss | FPL | 8.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Alex Pearce | FB | 8.3 / outside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 38 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Mason Cox | INT | 7.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 25 |
Hawthorn
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jai Newcombe | RR | 24.8 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 86 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Jarman Impey | WL | 23.3 / outside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 88 / outside our 90% range: 47 |
| Josh Ward | INT | 22.6 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 82 / outside our 90% range: 40 |
| Cam Mackenzie | R | 20.0 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 58 |
| Will Day | C | 19.9 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Connor Macdonald | HFFR | 19.5 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 79 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| James Sicily | BPL | 19.1 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 103 |
| Massimo D'Ambrosio | WR | 18.9 / inside our 90% range: 24.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 94 |
| Blake Hardwick | BPR | 18.4 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 56 |
| Josh Battle | HBFR | 18.4 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Karl Amon | INT | 18.4 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Dylan Moore | HFFL | 17.0 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 97 |
| Harry Morrison | INT | 16.9 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Jack Ginnivan | INT | 16.8 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Josh Weddle | HBFL | 13.9 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 76 |
| Bailey Macdonald | CHB | 12.7 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 50 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Lloyd Meek | RK | 12.5 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 80 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Nick Watson | FPL | 12.0 / outside our 90% range: 19.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Mitch Lewis | FF | 11.1 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Max Beattie | INT | 10.9 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 18 |
| Jack Gunston | FPR | 9.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 39 |
| Mabior Chol | CHF | 9.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Tom Barrass | FB | 8.7 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 36 / inside our 50% range: 36 |