AFL · QUALIFYING & ELIMINATION FINALS · SCG
Sydney Swans v Brisbane Lions
Sat 5 Sep 2026, 3:15pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
BRI by 2
BRI to win, 53% chance
SYD 47%53% BRI
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
SYD by 53
MISS Actual margin 53 · 55.4 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Errol Gulden | C | 31.0 / inside our 50% range: 34.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 109 / inside our 50% range: 122 |
| Callum Mills | BPL | 23.7 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 86 / outside our 90% range: 14 |
| Angus Sheldrick | INT | 20.6 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 51 |
| Brodie Grundy | RK | 19.7 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 95 / inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Jai Serong | WR | 18.6 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Jake Lloyd | HFFL | 17.4 / outside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 94 |
| James Rowbottom | RR | 17.3 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 6.7 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Matt Roberts | WL | 17.2 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Sam Wicks | HBFL | 17.0 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Tom McCartin | FB | 16.1 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Braeden Campbell | HFFR | 15.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 60 |
| Caiden Cleary | R | 14.7 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Jesse Dattoli | INT | 14.4 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| Tom Papley | FPL | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 92 |
| Harry Cunningham | INT | 12.9 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 81 |
| Dane Rampe | BPR | 12.5 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Harry Kyle | CHB | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 48 / inside our 50% range: 38 |
| Billy Cootee | FPR | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Logan McDonald | CHF | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 1.8 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 59 / outside our 90% range: 100 |
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 10.5 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Tom Hanily | INT | 10.4 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Joel Hamling | HBFR | 8.9 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 42 / inside our 90% range: 21 |
| Hayden McLean | INT | 8.1 / outside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.8 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 47 / outside our 90% range: 94 |
Brisbane Lions
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ashcroft | C | 28.2 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 104 / inside our 90% range: 86 |
| Lachie Neale | R | 27.4 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 98 / inside our 90% range: 69 |
| Dayne Zorko | HBFR | 24.3 / inside our 50% range: 26.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 93 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Josh Dunkley | RR | 21.4 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 7.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 95 / inside our 90% range: 117 |
| Zac Bailey | WR | 21.4 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Darcy Wilmot | HBFL | 19.4 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 75 / inside our 90% range: 60 |
| Levi Ashcroft | INT | 18.6 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Hugh McCluggage | INT | 18.2 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Jaspa Fletcher | INT | 18.2 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 71 / inside our 90% range: 50 |
| Jarrod Berry | WL | 17.1 / inside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 72 / inside our 90% range: 88 |
| Cam Rayner | FF | 15.5 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 71 / outside our 90% range: 34 |
| Kai Lohmann | FPR | 12.8 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 66 / outside our 90% range: 26 |
| Ryan Lester | BPR | 12.7 / outside our 90% range: 21.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Harris Andrews | FB | 12.6 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.1 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Noah Answerth | BPL | 12.1 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Charlie Cameron | HFFL | 10.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 58 / outside our 90% range: 15 |
| Logan Morris | CHF | 10.3 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Darcy Fort | RK | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 59 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Conor McKenna | INT | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 15.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 62 |
| Darcy Gardiner | CHB | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 44 / inside our 90% range: 16 |
| Sam Draper | INT | 9.1 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Eric Hipwood | FPL | 9.0 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Oscar Allen | HFFR | 7.5 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.2 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 49 |