AFL · SEMI FINALS · OPTUS STADIUM
Fremantle v Geelong Cats
Fri 11 Sep 2026, 6:10pm AWST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
GEE by 1
GEE to win, 51% chance
FRE 49%51% GEE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
FRE by 14
MISS Actual margin 14 · 14.8 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Brayshaw | C | 25.1 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 5.9 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 96 / inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Caleb Serong | RR | 24.6 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 91 / inside our 50% range: 87 |
| Jordan Clark | BPL | 24.4 / inside our 50% range: 25.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 89 / inside our 50% range: 79 |
| Murphy Reid | CHF | 22.0 / inside our 50% range: 23.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Shai Bolton | R | 21.7 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 80 / outside our 90% range: 120 |
| Luke Ryan | CHB | 19.8 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 76 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Karl Worner | HBFL | 19.2 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 80 / inside our 50% range: 78 |
| Hayden Young | INT | 18.6 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 96 |
| Luke Jackson | RK | 18.4 / inside our 90% range: 25.0 | 0.7 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 100 / inside our 90% range: 124 |
| Matthew Johnson | WL | 18.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Neil Erasmus | INT | 18.0 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 69 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Corey Wagner | INT | 16.4 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 63 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Heath Chapman | HBFR | 15.2 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Judd McVee | INT | 14.7 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Sam Switkowski | HFFR | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 56 / inside our 90% range: 43 |
| Michael Frederick | WR | 12.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 51 |
| Oscar McDonald | BPR | 12.4 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Josh Treacy | FF | 11.4 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 82 |
| Isaiah Dudley | HFFL | 11.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Patrick Voss | FPR | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 75 |
| Alex Pearce | FB | 9.9 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 41 / inside our 50% range: 36 |
| Jye Amiss | FPL | 8.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Mason Cox | INT | 7.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 46 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
Geelong Cats
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Smith | C | 30.3 / inside our 50% range: 29.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 4.0 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 110 / inside our 50% range: 117 |
| Max Holmes | INT | 24.6 / inside our 90% range: 18.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 87 / outside our 90% range: 43 |
| Tanner Bruhn | CHB | 21.6 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 78 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Oliver Dempsey | WL | 20.6 / inside our 90% range: 17.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 86 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Tom Stewart | HBFL | 20.2 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 76 / inside our 90% range: 54 |
| Shaun Mannagh | INT | 19.7 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 81 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Lawson Humphries | HBFR | 19.4 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 75 / inside our 50% range: 85 |
| Gryan Miers | HFFL | 18.8 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Tom Atkins | RR | 17.5 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 68 / inside our 90% range: 40 |
| Zach Guthrie | BPL | 15.5 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 71 |
| Patrick Dangerfield | FPL | 14.7 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Oisin Mullin | R | 14.0 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Jeremy Cameron | CHF | 13.0 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.7 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Mark Blicavs | WR | 13.0 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 66 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Mark O'Connor | INT | 13.0 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Connor O'Sullivan | FB | 12.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 73 |
| Oliver Wiltshire | INT | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 51 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Brad Close | HFFR | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Mitchell Edwards | RK | 11.0 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 38 |
| Oliver Henry | INT | 10.0 / outside our 90% range: 20.0 | 1.4 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / outside our 90% range: 106 |
| Jack Henry | BPR | 9.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 43 / inside our 50% range: 32 |
| Shannon Neale | FF | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 55 |
| Jay Polkinghorne | FPR | 7.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 43 / inside our 90% range: 14 |