AFL · PRELIMINARY FINALS · SCG
Sydney Swans v Fremantle
Fri 18 Sep 2026, 7:40pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
MISS
OUR TIP
SYD by 15
SYD to win, 70% chance
SYD 70%30% FRE
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
FRE by 12
MISS Actual margin 12 · 27.3 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Sydney Swans
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Errol Gulden | C | 32.1 / inside our 50% range: 36.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 4.1 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 110 / inside our 90% range: 137 |
| Justin McInerney | HBFR | 20.9 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.6 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 78 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Angus Sheldrick | INT | 20.4 / inside our 90% range: 12.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 55 |
| Jake Lloyd | HFFL | 18.9 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 79 / inside our 50% range: 84 |
| Brodie Grundy | RK | 18.8 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 81 |
| Jai Serong | WR | 18.1 / inside our 90% range: 23.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.7 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 73 / inside our 90% range: 88 |
| Matt Roberts | WL | 17.4 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 48 |
| James Rowbottom | RR | 16.9 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 6.7 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 77 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Tom McCartin | FB | 16.1 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.5 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 61 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Sam Wicks | HBFL | 15.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 63 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Braeden Campbell | R | 15.3 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Dane Rampe | BPR | 14.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Tom Papley | FPL | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 65 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Jesse Dattoli | INT | 13.6 / outside our 90% range: 3.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Caiden Cleary | INT | 13.1 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 55 / inside our 50% range: 57 |
| Harry Kyle | CHB | 11.7 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 47 / inside our 90% range: 35 |
| Billy Cootee | FPR | 10.8 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 1.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 29 |
| Charlie Curnow | FF | 10.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.2 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Logan McDonald | CHF | 10.6 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Lewis Melican | INT | 10.2 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 48 / inside our 90% range: 30 |
| Tom Hanily | INT | 10.0 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 49 / inside our 50% range: 44 |
| Joel Hamling | BPL | 8.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 39 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Hayden McLean | HFFR | 8.4 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 1.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 54 |
Fremantle
NO LINEUP| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Brayshaw | C | 24.8 / inside our 90% range: 29.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 5.7 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 104 |
| Caleb Serong | RR | 23.7 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 88 / inside our 50% range: 90 |
| Jordan Clark | BPL | 23.5 / inside our 90% range: 19.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 86 / outside our 90% range: 37 |
| Shai Bolton | R | 22.5 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.0 / outside our 90% range: 8.0 | 81 / inside our 90% range: 106 |
| Murphy Reid | CHF | 21.7 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Hayden Young | INT | 18.8 / outside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.3 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 71 / outside our 90% range: 117 |
| Karl Worner | HBFL | 18.7 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 77 / inside our 90% range: 45 |
| Luke Ryan | CHB | 18.7 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 63 |
| Luke Jackson | RK | 17.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.8 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 99 / inside our 50% range: 105 |
| Neil Erasmus | WR | 17.5 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.2 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.4 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 67 / inside our 50% range: 76 |
| Matthew Johnson | WL | 17.4 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 67 / inside our 90% range: 85 |
| Corey Wagner | INT | 15.6 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.3 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Heath Chapman | HBFR | 14.7 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.2 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 62 / inside our 50% range: 69 |
| Judd McVee | INT | 13.8 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 42 |
| Sam Switkowski | HFFR | 11.9 / inside our 50% range: 12.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 34 |
| Oscar McDonald | BPR | 11.5 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.4 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Michael Frederick | HFFL | 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 53 / inside our 90% range: 66 |
| Josh Treacy | FF | 10.8 / inside our 90% range: 8.0 | 2.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 5.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 66 / outside our 90% range: 29 |
| Isaiah Dudley | INT | 9.8 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.5 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 5.0 | 48 / outside our 90% range: 86 |
| Patrick Voss | FPR | 9.3 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 59 |
| Alex Pearce | FB | 9.1 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 38 / inside our 90% range: 21 |
| Jye Amiss | FPL | 7.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 51 / inside our 90% range: 31 |
| Mason Cox | INT | 7.3 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 46 |