AFL · GRAND FINAL · MCG
Fremantle v Brisbane Lions
Sat 26 Sep 2026, 2:30pm AEST (venue time)
FINAL
HIT
OUR TIP
BRI by 7
BRI to win, 60% chance
FRE 40%60% BRI
BY HOW MUCH
No margin range published for this match.
RESULT
BRI by 7
HIT Actual margin 7 · 0.2 points off our margin
MATCH MODEL
Tip and margin
18 Jun 2026
Summary: our prediction for every market, one row per player. Where the match is played, the actual follows the slash. Choose a market for its ranges and chances.
Inside our 50% rangeInside our 90% rangeOutside our 90% range
Fremantle
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Brayshaw | C | 25.2 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.4 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 5.3 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 94 / inside our 50% range: 80 |
| Caleb Serong | RR | 23.5 / inside our 50% range: 24.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.7 / outside our 90% range: 1.0 | 90 / inside our 90% range: 70 |
| Jordan Clark | BPL | 22.5 / inside our 90% range: 14.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 82 / inside our 90% range: 52 |
| Shai Bolton | R | 21.3 / inside our 90% range: 26.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.4 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 83 / inside our 90% range: 114 |
| Murphy Reid | CHF | 21.2 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 74 / inside our 50% range: 83 |
| Hayden Young | INT | 19.4 / inside our 50% range: 22.0 | 0.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 3.6 / outside our 90% range: 9.0 | 76 / outside our 90% range: 120 |
| Luke Ryan | INT | 18.4 / inside our 90% range: 13.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.7 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 58 |
| Matthew Johnson | WL | 17.5 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 70 / inside our 50% range: 74 |
| Karl Worner | HBFL | 17.3 / inside our 50% range: 16.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.1 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 62 |
| Neil Erasmus | WR | 17.0 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / outside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 70 / inside our 90% range: 42 |
| Luke Jackson | RK | 16.4 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 4.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 100 / inside our 50% range: 110 |
| Corey Wagner | INT | 15.1 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 46 |
| Heath Chapman | HBFR | 14.9 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 41 |
| Judd McVee | BPR | 13.7 / inside our 90% range: 10.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 43 |
| Sam Switkowski | HFFR | 11.4 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 0.6 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.2 / outside our 90% range: 6.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 4.0 | 52 / inside our 90% range: 72 |
| Michael Frederick | HFFL | 10.9 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.9 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.7 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 67 |
| Isaiah Dudley | INT | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 1.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 2.0 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.2 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 46 |
| Oscar McDonald | CHB | 10.6 / inside our 50% range: 13.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.6 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 56 |
| Josh Treacy | FF | 10.3 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.6 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Patrick Voss | FPR | 9.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 2.5 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 57 / inside our 90% range: 80 |
| Alex Pearce | FB | 8.5 / outside our 90% range: 2.0 | -0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.0 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 39 / outside our 90% range: 2 |
| Jye Amiss | FPL | 7.8 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 2.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.2 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 61 |
| Mason Cox | INT | 6.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 2.1 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 44 / outside our 90% range: 10 |
Brisbane Lions
ANNOUNCED| PLAYER | POS | DISPOSALS | GOALS | MARKS | TACKLES | FANTASY |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ashcroft | C | 27.2 / inside our 50% range: 31.0 | 0.5 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 3.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 99 / inside our 50% range: 92 |
| Lachie Neale | R | 26.3 / inside our 90% range: 20.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.4 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 94 / inside our 90% range: 74 |
| Dayne Zorko | HBFR | 23.7 / inside our 90% range: 28.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.6 / inside our 90% range: 9.0 | 2.0 / outside our 90% range: 7.0 | 91 / outside our 90% range: 134 |
| Josh Dunkley | RR | 21.1 / inside our 50% range: 21.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 7.0 / outside our 90% range: 12.0 | 92 / inside our 50% range: 95 |
| Zac Bailey | WR | 20.9 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 1.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 90 / inside our 50% range: 82 |
| Darcy Wilmot | HBFL | 17.9 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.2 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 66 / inside our 50% range: 72 |
| Hugh McCluggage | INT | 17.3 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.7 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.8 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 3.1 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 72 / inside our 50% range: 68 |
| Jarrod Berry | WL | 17.2 / inside our 50% range: 17.0 | 0.3 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.8 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 2.6 / inside our 90% range: 5.0 | 73 / inside our 50% range: 73 |
| Jaspa Fletcher | INT | 16.9 / inside our 50% range: 20.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.9 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.4 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 64 / inside our 90% range: 79 |
| Levi Ashcroft | INT | 16.6 / inside our 50% range: 19.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 4.6 / inside our 90% range: 7.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 69 / inside our 90% range: 83 |
| Cam Rayner | FF | 15.1 / inside our 50% range: 18.0 | 0.9 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 3.9 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 68 / inside our 50% range: 64 |
| Ryan Lester | BPR | 14.3 / inside our 50% range: 15.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 6.0 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 1.5 / outside our 90% range: 4.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 77 |
| Harris Andrews | FB | 12.2 / inside our 50% range: 11.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 5.9 / inside our 50% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 54 / inside our 50% range: 52 |
| Kai Lohmann | FPR | 11.8 / inside our 50% range: 14.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.7 / outside our 90% range: 10.0 | 62 / inside our 90% range: 90 |
| Conor McKenna | INT | 11.1 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 0.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 2.8 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 52 / inside our 50% range: 48 |
| Charlie Cameron | HFFL | 10.1 / inside our 90% range: 16.0 | 1.9 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 3.6 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.8 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 70 |
| Logan Morris | CHF | 10.0 / inside our 50% range: 10.0 | 2.3 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 4.3 / inside our 90% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 60 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Darcy Fort | RK | 9.8 / inside our 50% range: 8.0 | 0.2 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 1.7 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 1.9 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 58 / inside our 50% range: 49 |
| Ty Gallop | BPL | 9.6 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 0.1 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 5.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 3.0 | 47 / inside our 50% range: 50 |
| Eric Hipwood | FPL | 9.5 / inside our 90% range: 6.0 | 1.3 / inside our 90% range: 0.0 | 4.3 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.7 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 55 / inside our 90% range: 36 |
| Darcy Gardiner | CHB | 8.4 / inside our 50% range: 7.0 | 0.0 / inside our 50% range: 0.0 | 4.0 / inside our 50% range: 4.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 39 / inside our 50% range: 32 |
| Sam Draper | INT | 8.2 / inside our 90% range: 11.0 | 0.4 / inside our 90% range: 1.0 | 2.1 / inside our 50% range: 1.0 | 1.5 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 53 / inside our 50% range: 65 |
| Oscar Allen | HFFR | 7.2 / inside our 50% range: 9.0 | 1.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 3.3 / inside our 50% range: 2.0 | 1.6 / inside our 90% range: 3.0 | 45 / inside our 50% range: 53 |